🄜 3 tips for a crypto crash

PLUS: Why crypto crash?

GM to all 33,830 of you. Crypto Nutshell #195 settin’ sail.  šŸ“ā€ā˜ ļø 🄜 

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The Sword in the Stone

What we’ve cooked up for you today…

  • šŸ¤” Why did Bitcoin just crash?

  • āš–ļø 3 tips for a crypto crash

  • šŸ¦ The institutions are coming

  • šŸ’° And more…

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MARKET WATCH āš–ļø

Market data

Prices as at 5:00am ET

Only the top 20 coins measured by market cap feature in this section

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WHY DID BITCOIN JUST CRASH? šŸ¤”

BREAKING: Bitcoin falls 8% on anti-ETF news, analysts remain confident

bitcoin

After an incredible start to 2024, Bitcoin suddenly took a nosedive. Why?

Two potential reasons:

  1. Jim Cramer turned bullish on Bitcoin (we warned you…)

  2. Matrixport reported that the SEC might reject ETF applications

Here’s what the Matrixport article had to say:

"SEC Chair Gensler is not embracing crypto in the U.S., and it might even be a very long shot to expect that he would vote to approve bitcoin spot ETFs."

Upon this news breaking, Bitcoin’s price plummeted by more than 8%. šŸ“‰

bitcoin

However the report out from Matrixport, quickly came under scrutiny.

Notably, ETF analyst, Eric Balchunas questioned the legitimacy of the report.

He reaffirmed that all of his sources were still indicating an imminent approval.

EB tweet
EB tweet 2

Something fishy is going on here…

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3 TIPS FOR A CRYPTO CRASH āš–ļø

Today, Bitcoin fell from over $45,000 to at one point, $40,800.

What should you do when there’s such a drastic fall in price?

Macroeconomic expert, Raoul Pal, had some advice.

raoul1

Tip 1: Don’t use leverage

In the last 24 hours, we saw $600 million worth of leverage get wiped out.

longs1

For 99.99% of people, you should not be using leverage. Borrowing money to amplify your gains is a great way to go broke.

What do Raoul Pal, Michael Saylor, Warren Buffet and Charlie Munger all agree on?

Not much. But they do agree on this:

Don’t use leverage.

ā€œThere’s only three ways a smart person can go broke: liquor, ladies and leverage.ā€

Charlie Munger

Tip 2: Pain is opportunity

To become a better investor, Raoul believes you have to learn how to take pain.

The best time to be buying is when it’s painful to do so.

ā€œLearn how to take pain. When there is pain, you buy more.ā€

Raoul Pal

Tip 3: Have a long term time horizon

During a sharp correction, Raoul points out it’s crucial to have a long term time horizon.

Has anything fundamentally changed about your investment?

If not - everything is noise.

ā€œUnless something changes the thesis and we’re all going to turn into Neanderthals and nobody’s going to use technology ever again - it is going up. It’s as simple as that… That’s all you need to know. Everything else is just f*cking noise.ā€

Raoul Pal

Bottom Line:

We don’t think there’s any substance to the report from Matrixport.

In our view, the Bitcoin ETFs are an inevitability.

Nothing has fundamentally changed. Today was a rare opportunity. šŸ€

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THE INSTITUTIONS ARE COMING šŸ¦

Time for a look at the weekly crypto asset flows.

Last week, digital asset investment products saw new inflows of $243 million.

This brings the 2023 total inflows to $2.2 billion, the third largest year since 2017.

If you’re new around here, or not quite sure what we mean by digital asset investment products, checkout this short article.

2023 inflows were 2.7x the inflows seen in 2022. Marking a significant change in investor sentiment.

However, the majority of these inflows came in the final quarter as hype increased surrounding the potential Bitcoin ETFs.

Weekly flows

Let’s break these flows down by asset.

No surprise here, Bitcoin completely dominated the yearly flows with $1.9 billion in total.

That’s over 87% of the total flows. 😲

Interestingly, Solana experience a larger amount of net inflows ($167m) compared to Ethereum ($78m).

flows by asset

The US saw the largest inflows of $792 million, followed by Germany ($663m) and Canada ($543m).

flows by country

Comparing 2023’s inflows to 2022’s, one things clear.

Institutional interest in the digital asset space is back. šŸ’°

This is largely due to the upcoming Bitcoin ETFs. 

Just imagine how large these inflows are going to be once they actually launch…

Less than a week to go. šŸ˜Ž

CRACKING CRYPTO 🄜

Bitcoin's price risk slumping to $36k if SEC denies ETF applications, Matrixport warns. SEC's stance on compliance may sink Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) hopes, warns digital asset management firm Matrixport.

Peter Schiff says spot Bitcoin ETF could crash BTC price. Schiff has long been a Bitcoin skeptic and has predicted its doom for years, only to be proven wrong each cycle.

Goldman Sachs in talks to manage more bitcoin ETF shares. As a potential authorized participant, Goldman Sachs would be responsible for the creation and redemption of ETF shares.

Three Possible Scenarios for Bitcoin ETFs in 2024. Will they or won’t they? The SEC is on the clock and crypto markets eagerly await its decision on a Bitcoin ETF. Here’s what could happen.

WHAT WE’RE READING āœļø

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CAN YOU CRACK THIS NUT? āœļø

Select your answer below and you’ll be redirected to the results page. (answer explanation can be found after ā€œMeme Cornerā€)

What is the maximum number of Bitcoin that can ever be created?

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MEME CORNER šŸ˜‚

Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

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Click to watch šŸ˜…

Trivia Answer: C) 21 million 🄳

There is a limited supply of bitcoins that can ever exist, with a total cap of 21 million

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