🥜 All-time highs?

PLUS: Tariff's delayed again

Together with

GM to all of you nutcases. It’s Crypto Nutshell #658 takin’ formation… 🛩️🥜

We're the crypto newsletter that's more intense than a math genius unraveling government secrets while battling his own mind... 🧠🧾

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What we’ve cooked up for you today…

  • 🏦 Are we back?

  • 🐧 All-time highs this week?

  • 🐋 Whale makes a move

  • 💰 And more…

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market data

Prices as at 4:20am ET

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ARE WE BACK? 🏦

BREAKING: Bitcoin climbs back above $109,000 after weekend slump as Trump sets new tariff date

BTC

Here’s a fun fact to start your week…

Bitcoin just set a new weekly high of $109,443!

BTC

What caused this sudden move upwards?

Simple, the Trump administration just blinked.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that the July 9 "Liberation Day" tariff deadline has been softened.

"President Trump's going to be sending letters to some of our trading partners saying that if you don't move things along, then on August 1, you will boomerang back to your April 2 tariff level. So I think we're going to see a lot of deals very quickly."

Scott Bessent

Countries now have until August 1 to finalise trade deals before sweeping tariff hikes kick in.

That unexpected delay has done two things:

  1. Eased fears of immediate volatility

  2. Injected confidence back into risk assets

Bitcoin surged back above $109,000.

Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin all saw solid gains.

And analysts now say the next big catalyst could come July 15 - when fresh inflation data might give the Fed a green light to cut rates.

This macro backdrop is shifting fast…

After April’s tariff shock sent BTC tumbling to $75K, the recovery has been relentless.

U.S. stocks are ripping.

Crypto has regained momentum.

And with global trade talks heating up, any deal headlines could fuel the next leg higher.

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Break Out of the Bubble

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Tangle is here to burst those bubbles and help you understand the opposing view.

Every day, Tangle will drop into your inbox and unpack a highly visible and often contentious issue in the news by providing the most thoughtful points from the left, right, and in-between for nearly 400,000 readers across the political spectrum (including our founder, a long-time Tangle fan).

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ALL TIME HIGHS THIS WEEK? 🐧

The chart whisperer has spoken.

Pentoshi says we’re going to see Bitcoin at all-time highs this week.

And if we break out?

$118K - $120K comes fast.

pnt

If you’re not familiar with Pentoshi, he’s a technical analyst who regularly posts his charts, trades, and macro predictions on X.

He’s one of our favourite analysts for 2 reasons:

  • His impressive technical analysis 📈

  • His stunningly accurate macro calls ✅

To maintain his anonymity, he writes under the pseudonym "Pentosh1" and uses a cartoon penguin as his avatar. 🐧

This week, he threw out that he believe’s we’ll see fresh all-time highs this week.

pent1

Why He’s Bullish:

• BTC and ETH both showing tailwinds
• FUD has failed to break structure
• High timeframe trend still intact
• Macro setup now supports upside

He’s been eerily accurate since the 2020-2021 bull run.

Let’s see if he’s still got it… 👀

He wrapped up with this:

pen23

Strap in. 🏎️

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WHALE MAKES A MOVE 🐋

Time for a check-in on the Long/Short-Term Holder Threshold.

Here’s how this metric works:

  • 🔴 Short-Term Holders (STHs): Coins held for less than 155 days

  • 🔵 Long-Term Holders (LTHs): Coins held for more than 155 days

  • 🟥 Short-Term Holder Cost Basis: All coins purchased in this price range are STHs

  • 🟦 Long-Term Holder Cost Basis: All coins purchased in this price range are LTHs

This metric is powerful because it shows exactly what price range long and short term holders bought their Bitcoin at. 🔍

onchain

The key cutoff date right now is February 1, 2025, when Bitcoin hovered near $101K.

Anything bought before that? Long-term holder (LTH).

After that? Short-term holder (STH).

And here’s the story the data tells:

LTHs now control 14.63M BTC - a staggering 73.6% of the circulating supply.

STHs? Just 2.37M BTC, or 11.9%.

In the last 90 days alone, over 500K BTC has flowed into long-term hands.

But one stat raised eyebrows this weekend…

The LTH count dropped by 64,752 - a sharp move that triggered some alarm bells.

However, there is no need to panic.

According to Arkham Intelligence, it’s tied to a single whale wallet that moved BTC after 14 years of silence.

Arkham believes that the whale has shown no signs of selling - just a shift to enhanced security.

Bottom line?

Conviction hasn’t wavered.

Long-term holders are still in full control.

CRACKING CRYPTO 🥜

TON offers UAE golden visa for stakers, making residency by crypto a reality. Telegram's TON now offers a 10-year UAE golden visa to investors who stake $100,000 in Toncoin for three years.

$8.6B Bitcoin whale transfer shows no signs of sell-off. Blockchain intelligence firm Arkham said in a post on Friday that there “are no indications” the $8.6 billion Bitcoin whale transfer is leading to a sell-off.

U.S. Recession Odds on Polymarket Plunge to 22% as Trade Tensions Cool. Perceived odds of a U.S. recession peaked at 66% back in April as Wall Street banks were raising red flags, yet they have since plunged as trade negotiations advanced.

U.S. Secret Service team has recovered nearly $400 million in crypto from criminals. Much of the $400 million in recovered funds sit on a single cold-storage wallet, according to the Bloomberg report.

WHAT WE’RE READING 📚

Want to get even smarter? Check these out.

p.s. all completely FREE (one click subscribe link)

  • Raremints (link) - Daily crypto news

  • Bitcoin Breakdown (link) - Daily Bitcoin news

  • Techpresso (link) - Daily tech news and insights

  • The Hustle (link) - Get Smarter on Business and Tech

  • Your Next Breakthrough (link) - Personal growth with Mark Manson

  • The Neuron (link) - AI trends and tools to keep you ahead

CAN YOU CRACK THIS NUT? ✍️

Select your answer below and you’ll be redirected to the results page. (answer explanation can be found after “Meme Corner”)

What does the term "vesting period" refer to in crypto tokenomics?

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MEME CORNER 😂

Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

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Trivia Answer: A delay before tokens can be sold by insiders 🥳

A vesting period ensures that project insiders, team members, or early investors can’t instantly dump their tokens — it’s meant to build trust and long-term alignment. 🕒🔒

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