🄜 ATH coming soon

PLUS: ETH Supply Shock

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GM to all 42,774 of you. Crypto Nutshell #226 scamperin’ thru. šŸ¦Ž šŸ„œ 

We’re the crypto newsletter that's more heartening than discovering your childhood toys are alive and have feelings... 🧸 šŸš€

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What we’ve cooked up for you today…

  • 😔 U.S. government crackdown

  • šŸ¤” All-time highs coming soon

  • šŸ¤‘ Ethereum check-in

  • šŸ’° And more…

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MARKET WATCH āš–ļø

market data

Prices as at 5:05am ET

Only the top 20 coins measured by market cap feature in this section

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U.S. GOVERNMENT CRACKDOWN 😔

BREAKING: U.S. Government issues emergency data collection request on Bitcoin miners in America 🚨 

bitcoin

The U.S Energy Information Administration (EIA) has issued a mandatory survey to Bitcoin miners.

And, the Bitcoin community is not happy…

Here’s what the EIA had to say in a press release.

ā€œWe intend to continue to analyze and write about the energy implications of cryptocurrency mining activities in the United States… We will specifically focus on how the energy demand for cryptocurrency mining is evolving, identify geographic areas of high growth, and quantify the sources of electricity used to meet cryptocurrency mining demand.ā€

EIA Administrator Joe DeCarolis

On one hand, understanding the exact amount of power that Bitcoin miners use sounds like a good thing.

But others argue that the survey requires a little too much information.

"When I read the press release and the filing my initial thought was: Interesting. Maybe this will turn out to be a net positive for the industry… Upon review, it proves to be one of the more Orwellian things I've seen come out of this Administration.ā€

To maker matters worse, the survey is mandatory under federal law.

Companies that do not respond will be fined $10,633 per day…

That’s a little excessive isn’t it?

"They have pre-formatted delinquency notices for those companies that do not respond, which include threats of criminal and civil penalties for non-compliance including a $10,633 fine PER DAY for failure to report…This is egregious and needs to be met with immediate legal action."

Let’s hope it ends with just the surveys…

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ATH SOONER THAN YOU THINK? šŸ¤”

Bitcoin’s new all-time high may come within the next 30 to 60 days.

That’s the latest message out from Bitcoin Investor Fred Krueger.

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For those of you who don’t know Fred Krueger, here’s a quick rundown on some of his credentials:

  • Worked on Wall Street during the early 80’s to late 90’s

  • PHD in Math from Stanford

  • 10 successful entrepreneurial exits from companies he created

Safe to say, not only is Fred a total G - he also knows what he’s talking about.

Krueger’s bull scenario for the next 30 to 60 days would see Bitcoin hitting a new all-time high before the next halving.

Here’s the logic behind it:

  • Selling pressure from Grayscale’s GBTC is largely over.

  • Within 18 trading days, the newly launched Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated ~175,000 Bitcoin. That’s $7.5 billion at today’s prices.

With these two key facts in mind, this is how Krueger thinks it’ll play out:

ā€œOver the next 30 to 60 days, there are 20 to 40 trading sessions. I would bet this results in between 4 and 6 Billion new USD in inflows. At a market cap of 850 Billion, it's pretty easy to see this could move the market 50% or to 64K. Basically at all time high.ā€

Definitely an interesting scenario that we could see happening.

The Bitcoin ETFs have added a little spice to the 4 year market cycle.

This time really is going to be different. šŸ˜Ž

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ETHEREUM CHECK-IN šŸ¤‘

Today we’ll be checking in on Ethereum’s supply side dynamics.

(they’re ridiculously good btw)

Let’s kick things off with a quick look at the amount of Ethereum available for sale on exchanges.

As of today, there is only 13,610,273 ETH sitting on exchanges…

That effectively puts this metric at an all-time low. šŸ˜±

(even though it was technically lower in 2016, the circulating supply was WAY smaller than todays)

onchain

But wait… It gets better…

The amount of Ethereum locked for staking continues to smash through all-time highs.

Currently there is 37,843,544 Ethereum staked. (31.58% of the circulating supply)

That’s an increase of over 1 million ETH since we last looked at this metric two weeks ago.

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And to top things off…

The circulating supply of Ethereum continues to decrease. šŸ“‰

Since The Merge, Ethereum has been deflationary at a rate of -0.205% per year.

Currently the circulating supply is 119,945,253 ETH. 

That’s a decrease of 342,470.44 ETH since September 15, 2022.

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Putting it all together and we have three ridiculously bullish indicators:

  • Decreasing exchange balances

  • Increasing amount of staked ETH

  • Decreasing supply

To us that sounds like a supply shock is coming for Ethereum. āš”ļø

CRACKING CRYPTO 🄜

Bitcoin mining difficulty hits new ATH after record 7.3% spike. Bitcoin mining difficulty has surged to a new all-time high, reaching 75.50T at block height 828,576 on Feb. 2.

DOJ charges duo for crypto mining in school district amid US energy scrutiny. According to a statement from the DOJ, the two senior staff members purchased high-end graphic cards to operate a crypto mining farm for their own personal gain.

Bitcoin hovers around $43k on latest jobs data. Stocks and cryptocurrencies were mixed Friday as investors grappled with new earnings and economic data, including labor market dynamics.

WHAT WE’RE READING šŸ“š

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CAN YOU CRACK THIS NUT? āœļø

Select your answer below and you’ll be redirected to the results page. (answer explanation can be found after ā€œMeme Cornerā€)

What type of network is the Bitcoin network?

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MEME CORNER šŸ˜‚

Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

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Daily Mail: December 5, 2000

Trivia Answer: D) Peer-to-Peer Networks 🄳

The Bitcoin network is a peer-to-peer (P2P) network.

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