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PLUS: Big win for crypto
Todayās edition is brought to you by Incogni.
GM to all 64,612 of you. Crypto Nutshell #328 ploddinā in... 𦣠š„
Weāre the crypto newsletter thatās more magical than a young girlās journey down a rabbit hole into a whimsical and chaotic world... šš©

What weāve cooked up for you todayā¦
š¤ Big win for crypto
š When to sell
šŖ Long-term holders
š° And moreā¦

MARKET WATCH āļø

Prices as at 8:25am ET
Only the top 20 coins measured by market cap feature in this section

BIG WIN FOR CRYPTO š¤
BREAKING: U.S. Senate Votes to Kill SEC's Crypto Accounting Policy, Testing Biden's Veto Threat

The US Senate just voted in favour of repealing the SECās controversial SAB 121 crypto policy.
The Senate voted 60-38 to overturn the policy.
But what exactly is SAB 121? š¤·āāļø
Hereās the rundown:
The SEC Staff Accounting Bulletin (SAB 121), was first published in 2022 and has drawn controversy over the past year over concerns in the crypto industry that it could prevent banks from safeguarding digital assets. It requires firms that custody crypto to record customer crypto holdings as liabilities on their balance sheets.
One of the reasons SAB 121 is so controversial is because it doesnāt apply to traditional assets like stocks.
Senator Cynthia Lumis, who pushed for the resolution in the Senate, had this to say:
This is a win for financial innovation and a clear rebuke of the way the Biden administration and Chair Gary Gensler have treated crypto assets and marks the first time both chambers of Congress have passed standalone crypto legislation,"
Senator Lumis even updated her Twitter profile picture to include the popular crypto meme ālaser eyesā.
A clear indication of her support for the crypto industry.

Rep. Mike Flood, another politician who pushed for the resolution, called this decision a ālandmark resultā:
āIt is clear there is overwhelming opposition to SAB 121, and I urge President Joe Biden to reconsider his previous statement of intent to veto the resolution. The President should sign my resolution to ensure the SEC reverses course and sets America on a path to growing our digital financial future,ā
But itās not over yetā¦
Before this decision was made, President Joe Biden vowed to veto the resolution if the Senate voted in favour.
Itāll be interesting to see what Biden actually doesā¦
Regardless though, today is a victory for the crypto industry. š„³

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WHEN ON EARTH SHOULD I SELL? š
Itās the most asked question in all of cryptoā¦
When should I sell?
Thatās what macro-economic expert Raoul Pal answered in his latest update to investors.

If youāve been in crypto for long enough, youāll know that crypto is extremely cyclical.
Thereās a 4 year cycle, based around the Bitcoin halving.
This 4 year cycle is broken into 4 seasons:
š© Crypto Spring
šØ Crypto Summer
š„ Crypto Fall
š¦ Crypto Winter
In 3 out of 4 of these seasons, crypto is the best performing asset on earth.
Then in crypto winter, itās the worst.
On paper, the optimal selling strategy appears obvious:
Exit all of your crypto positions before crypto winter.
Simple, right?
According to Raoul - not quite.
Thereās just one problem.
Itās impossible to know when crypto will peak.
āI can't help you with timing the top.ā
Even if you do miraculously nail the top, thereās a problem:
āLet's imagine you get out roughly right. Within 10% - 20% of the high. Let's say you've turned $100 into $1,000. Now you're waiting for the bear market. I will guarantee you will not put the same amount back in. Because you'll be terrified of losing it⦠before you know you've actually screwed the whole thing up.ā
Instead of trying to time the market, hereās Raoulās personal plan:
āHere's my suggested path for most people... Usually the back part of the year, after the US election there's a screaming pump into the end of the year. My advice? Use that in terms of time and not price. Take maybe 1/3rd off the table for lifestyle chips⦠Secure your lifestyle, the things that matter to you. Now you've taken all the pressure off. Now I've de-risked my life so I can now run 2025 more intelligently.ā
Raoulās predicts that following the US election in November, weāre going to see a huge pump.
The plan?
Take 1/3rd off the table.
Now not only have you taken the pressure off, if thereās a harsh correction, (there always is) you have some dry powder. š£
Although not for everyone, we think itās a pretty good plan.

LONG-TERM HOLDERS šŖ
Itās time to check in on the supply of Bitcoin last active 1+ years ago.
We love this chart. Itās so simple to understand and itās extremely useful.
It categorises coins based on how long itās been since they last moved on-chain. (as a percentage of the circulating supply)
Metrics rising: long-term holders are accumulating coins š
Metrics declining: long-term holders are selling coins š
Taking a look at the chart below youāll notice significant dips in these metrics when Bitcoin reaches new all-time highs. (especially with the 1+ year age band)

Hereās the breakdown for each cohort (compared to what it was 2 weeks ago):
š“ Supply last active 1+ years ago: 65.80% (up from 65.68%)
š Supply last active 2+ years ago: 54.81% (up from 54.65%)
š¢ Supply last active 3+ years ago: 46.33% (up from 45.69%)
šµ Supply last active 5+ years ago: 31.19% (down from 31.22%)
Over the last two weeks, the 1+, 2+ and 3+ age bands experienced a slight increase.
BUT, the 5+ age band slightly decreasedā¦
As we mentioned two weeks ago, the sell-offs from long-term holders has slowed down.
Now long-term holders are once again waiting on the price to increase further before taking anymore profits.
BUT, there was a small amount of selling from the 5+ year age band. (nothing too significant though)
All in all, long-term holders still have an extremely high conviction in the future of Bitcoin. šŖ

CRACKING CRYPTO š„
Vanguard's new CEO upholds firm's stance against Bitcoin ETFs despite crypto enthusiasm. Vanguard newly appointed CEO Salim Ramji remains aligned with firm's cautious approach to Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF).
Binance develops āantidoteā to address poisoning scams after $68M exploit. Binanceās new algorithm has already helped detect over 13.4 million spoofed blockchain addresses on BNB and over 1.68 million on Ethereum.
Coinbase Shares Sink 9% on Report CME to Consider Listing Spot Bitcoin. The stock was the second worst performing among crypto stocks on Thursday.
Bitcoin Has Best Day in 2 Months as Markets Anticipate a āSummer of Easing'. The net percent of global central banks cutting rates is increasing in a positive sign for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
WHAT WEāRE READING š
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CAN YOU CRACK THIS NUT? āļø
Select your answer below and youāll be redirected to the results page. (answer explanation can be found after āMeme Cornerā)
What is "Mining" in Bitcoin? |
MEME CORNER š
Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

Trivia Answer: A) The process of confirming transactions and adding them to the blockchain š„³
For more on Bitcoin mining, checkout this article.
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DISCLAIMER: The content of this newsletter is not financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice. Please be careful and do your own research.
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