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GM to all of you nutcases. It’s Crypto Nutshell #875 flutterin’ on by…🦋🥜

We're the crypto newsletter that's more dialed-in than a park ranger who knows the glass of water moved before anyone says dinosaur… 🦖🥤

What we’ve cooked up for you today…

  • 🏦 Are we back?

  • 📓 The greatest trading hack

  • 📺 Where’d everyone go?

  • 💰 And more…

Prices as at 4:40am ET

ARE WE BACK? 🏦

BREAKING: Bitcoin Breaks $81K As ETF Inflows Bring The Bulls Back

Last week, we said $80,000 was the true test for Bitcoin.

Well Bitcoin just cracked the $81k level, it’s highest point since January this year.

The question is no longer whether Bitcoin can reach the old ceiling. It's whether the old ceiling can now become the floor.

And the timing is important.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs just pulled in another $532.3 million. That's not a tiny "maybe institutions are interested" number.

That's real demand showing up at the same time price is pushing through the level everyone was watching.

Ethereum joined in too, with the ETH ETFs seeing $61.3 million of inflows.

BTC ETF Flows

Bitcoin is still the main story here, but ETH catching a bid makes this feel less like one isolated Bitcoin candle and more like a broader crypto risk-on move.

Then you add the policy backdrop.

The CLARITY Act momentum has given the market another reason to lean constructive.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong summed up the mood pretty simply: "Mark it up."

That's the part that makes today interesting.

Bitcoin didn't just drift above $80,000 in a quiet market. It crossed $81,000 with ETF money coming in, ETH flows turning positive, crypto stocks rallying, and Washington finally looking a little less hostile.

So yes, last week's test has moved.

$80,000 was resistance.

Now the market wants to see it become support.

That doesn't mean Bitcoin will go straight up from here.

If buyers keep defending the old ceiling, this starts looking less like another failed breakout attempt and more like the next leg of the recovery.

For now, Bitcoin has done the first hard thing.

It got through the door. 🚀

The IRS Can Now See Your Crypto Trades. No Warrant Needed. 🔒

In June 2025, the US Supreme Court ruled that authorities can demand your full transaction history from crypto exchanges - without a warrant.

Coinbase alone received over 12,700 government data requests in 2025 from 60+ countries.

Every trade, every wallet, every counterparty could be visible to governments.

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THE GREATEST TRADING HACK 📓

Raoul Pal just shared the single most powerful habit he's developed across decades of trading. And it's something every investor can implement today.

Pal is a former Goldman Sachs macro trader and the founder of Real Vision.

He's managed money at the highest levels, advised some of the world's largest hedge funds, and built one of the most respected macro research businesses on the planet.

Raoul Pal on Words of Rizdom

And in his latest interview on Words of Rizdom, he revealed the discipline that separates serious investors from gamblers:

“Write the trade down.”

Raoul Pal

That's it. That's the hack.

Entry. Exit.

Why you took the trade. What thesis it's based on. And then come back to it.

Constantly check: has anything changed?

"If you want to get it right, writing the idea down, entry, exit, why you've done it, and has anything changed and coming back to the trade and saying, has something changed?"

Raoul Pal

The reason this is so powerful comes down to 2 things:

First, it forces accountability.

Most investors lose money because they override their own strategy in the moment. They get emotional. They hold losers too long. They cut winners too early. They convince themselves the thesis is still intact when it isn't. Writing it down means you can't lie to yourself. You either followed the plan or you didn't. And when you didn't, you can see exactly where the discipline broke.

Second, and this is the part most people miss, the act of writing forces you to make sense of what's in your head. You think you understand a trade until you try to explain it on paper. Then the gaps appear. The assumptions get exposed. And the actual thesis sharpens.

Pal explained that this is precisely what turned into Global Macro Investor, his world-renowned research service. It started as nothing more than him writing down what was in his head.

The discipline of doing that consistently is what built one of the most respected macro publications in the world.

This is why so many of the best hedge fund managers in the world love writing quarterly letters.

It's not about communicating with investors. It's about having a structured conversation with themselves.

A forced moment of clarity in a market that constantly tries to confuse you.

Most people in crypto don't do this. They scroll Twitter, react to price action, and let dopamine drive their decisions. The result is predictable. They get chopped up.

The investors who win, the ones who compound across cycles, are the ones who write everything down.

Every entry. Every exit. Every thesis. Every change.

Free hack. Priceless edge.

The only question is whether you'll actually do it. ✍️

WHERE’D EVERYONE GO? 📺

Today we're looking at something a little different - crypto YouTube views as a sentiment gauge.

This metric tracks the total new views gained across major crypto YouTube channels over time. It's a proxy for public interest and newcomer curiosity.

The logic is simple:

  • During bull runs, crypto YouTube explodes. New viewers flood in, channels surge, and the view counts spike to extremes.

  • During drawdowns, the audience shrinks back to the core.

Tracking that flow gives you a real-time read on how much attention the broader public is paying to crypto at any given moment.

So where are we now?

The latest reading sits at 507,000 new views - well below the millions-per-day peaks seen during 2021 and noticeably lower than the spikes during the 2024-2025 rally.

The casual viewers, the hype-chasers, the "what coin should I buy" crowd - they're gone. That's what happens during extended drawdowns.

507,000 daily views across major channels isn't completely dead but it sure is quiet.

This is what the gap between cycles looks like. Low public interest, minimal hype, and a shrinking casual audience.

When crypto YouTube starts surging again, you'll know the next wave of retail is arriving. For now, the room is quiet. And that's usually when the smart money is paying the most attention. 📺

(Not so subtle plug: if you're not already subscribed to our YouTube channels, Crypto Nutshell & Library of Wealth, go hit that button - we post daily videos.)

CRACKING CRYPTO 🥜

SEC delays prediction market ETFs over mechanics and risk concerns. The regulator reportedly asked for more details on more than two dozen event-contract ETF filings from firms including Roundhill, GraniteShares and Bitwise.

BitMine Buys $240 Million in Ethereum as Tom Lee Heralds Arrival of 'Crypto Spring'. BitMine bought more than 100,000 ETH for the third straight week, including another 10,000 ETH from the Ethereum Foundation.

DTC to begin tokenized asset rollout in July ahead of full launch as it gets feedback from BlackRock, Circle and others. DTC plans limited production trades of tokenized real-world assets in July before an October launch, with more than 50 firms involved in its working group.

Laywer pops up on Arbitrum DAO forums seeking funds for victims of decades-old North Korean terrorist acts. Families holding decades-old judgments against North Korea are trying to seize 30,765 ETH frozen after last month's rsETH exploit, citing alleged links between the attack and DPRK-linked hacking groups.

WHAT WE’RE READING 📚

Want to get even smarter? Check these out.

p.s. all completely FREE (one click subscribe link)

  • Raremints (link) - Daily crypto news

  • Bitcoin Breakdown (link) - Daily Bitcoin news

  • Techpresso (link) - Daily tech news and insights

  • The Hustle (link) - Get Smarter on Business and Tech

  • Your Next Breakthrough (link) - Personal growth with Mark Manson

  • The Neuron (link) - AI trends and tools to keep you ahead

CAN YOU CRACK THIS NUT? ✍️

Select your answer below and you’ll be redirected to the results page. (answer explanation can be found after “Meme Corner”)

MEME CORNER 😂

Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

Trivia Answer: Track the value of another asset, usually a fiat currency like the U.S. dollar 🥳

Stablecoins are built to keep a steady value instead of swinging like Bitcoin or Ethereum. The most common versions aim to stay close to $1 by holding reserves or using other stabilizing mechanisms.

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