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GM to all of you nutcases. It’s Crypto Nutshell #653 rollin’ in… 🛞🥜

We're the crypto newsletter that's more explosive than a retired hitman forced back into action over a stolen car and a puppy... 🐶🔫

What we’ve cooked up for you today…

• 🏦 Trump’s crypto conflict

• 🧠 A conservative prediction…

• 🧑‍🍳 Pressure cooker

• 💰 And more…

What’s in the Crypto Nutshell Portfolio?

TRUMP’S CRYPTO CONFLICT 🏦

BREAKING: Bitcoin Holds Steady as ECB Forum Looms, Traders Gear for Volatility Shift

President Trump just gave Bitcoin another endorsement…

While sidestepping mounting criticism over his sprawling crypto empire…

In a press conference this week, Trump:

• Praised Bitcoin for “taking pressure off the dollar”

• Deflected calls to divest from his personal crypto ventures

• Claimed credit for “building the American crypto industry”

And despite growing Democrat pressure over potential conflicts of interest, he’s not backing down.

“I got involved [in crypto] before I decided to run,” he said, brushing off concerns tied to World Liberty Financial (his family’s DeFi platform), USD1 (their stablecoin), and the Solana-based meme coin TRUMP.

But the real story isn’t the controversy - it’s the conviction.

Trump isn’t just pro-crypto for the headlines.

He’s openly framing Bitcoin as a strategic economic asset - even hinting it could help solve the Triffin Dilemma, a fundamental flaw in the dollar’s global reserve role.

“It takes a lot of pressure off the dollar, and it’s a great thing for our country,” he said - pointing to Bitcoin’s growing use in global trade and payments.

Meanwhile:

• The dollar just hit a 3-year low

• U.S. bond yields are surging

• And America’s $37 trillion debt is only getting worse

Critics say Trump’s entanglements are unethical.

Supporters say he’s playing 4D chess with the future of money.

Either way, one thing’s clear:

The sitting U.S. President sees Bitcoin not as a threat - but as part of the solution. 🚀

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Outrage headlines. Never-ending feeds. Everyone shouting, no one listening.

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A CONSERVATIVE PREDICTION… 🧠

Bitcoin to $500,000?

Ric Edelman says that’s conservative.

If you don’t know who Ric Edelman is, he's not some random Twitter influencer.

He’s one of the most respected financial advisors in the U.S. - and he just made his boldest call yet:

Let that sink in.

This is the guy who once said 1% was enough.

Now? He’s telling traditional investors to go 40x that.

Who Is Ric Edelman?

• 📊 Founder of Edelman Financial Engines - $270+ Billion under managemen

• 📚 NYT bestselling author

• 🏛️ Named #1 Independent Financial Advisor in America 3x by Barron’s

Why the Massive Shift?

A lot has changed since 2021:

• Governments didn’t ban Bitcoin

• The tech didn’t fail

• Institutions and consumers adopted it

Crypto has gone from “maybe” to mainstream.

And according to Edelman, it’s time portfolios reflect that.

The 60/40 Portfolio Is Dead

Ric says the classic 60% stocks / 40% bonds model is outdated.

Why?

We’re living longer.

The average life expectancy in the U.S. has jumped from 47 to 85.

Soon it could hit 100.

That means people need better returns than bonds can provide… and uncorrelated assets to manage risk.

Why Crypto Fits

That’s what makes it powerful.

• It boosts returns.

• It reduces risk.

• It improves portfolio theory stats.

Final Take

Edelman isn’t making random predictions.

He’s calling for math.

For serious long-term investors?

Bitcoin isn’t just an option anymore.

It’s a requirement. 🧠

PRESSURE COOKER 🧑‍🍳

Let’s kick off the week with a look at the Bitcoin HODL Waves - one of the clearest snapshots of market conviction.

Each coloured band represents the percentage of Bitcoin that last moved within a specific time frame.

The cooler the colour, the older the coins - with purple showing Bitcoin that hasn’t moved in 10+ years.

As always, we’re focusing on long-term holders (LTHs) - defined as coins held for more than six months.

Here’s how the Bitcoin supply breakdown looks today compared to two weeks ago:

• 6m - 12m: 16.54% (up from 15.94%)

• 1y - 2y: 11.06% (up from 10.88%)

• 2y - 3y: 7.89% (down from 8.03%)

• 3y - 4y: 6.80% (down from 6.81%)

• 4y - 5y: 8.77% (up from 8.67%)

• 5y - 10y: 14.80% (down from 14.81%)

• >10y: 9.31% (up from 9.28%)

TL;DR: 75.17% of all Bitcoin hasn’t moved in over six months. 🔒

What stands out?

A clear surge in the 6–12 month cohort - the largest two-week jump on the board. That means short-term holders are aging into long-term conviction.

At the same time, small dips in the 2–3y, 3–4y, and 5–10y bands likely reflect light profit-taking - not panic selling or structural weakness.

The broader trend is what matters:

• Long-term holders are sitting tight

• Liquid supply keeps drying up

• Conviction is building, not fading

And when you combine a tightening supply with growing demand?

You don’t get weakness.

You get a pressure cooker.

Bitcoin’s supply side is locked up. And the longer this holds, the more explosive the eventual move becomes.

CRACKING CRYPTO 🥜

Bigger bitcoin HODL: Time for 10% to 40% of portfolio in crypto, says financial advisor Ric Edelman. Financial advisor Ric Edelman recommends financial advisors hold from 10% to 40% of a portfolio in crypto including bitcoin.

27% of Koreans aged 20–50 hold crypto, 70% eye more investments. A recent report shows 27% of Koreans aged 20–50 own crypto, with investments making up 14% of their assets. 70% plan to expand holdings, citing growth and diversification.

ONDO Climbs Near $0.77, Team Says 2025 Will Be the Year of Tokenized Stocks. Ondo rose 1.5% on Sunday, nearly two weeks after the team announced a major alliance to expand global access to tokenized U.S. securities.

REX-Osprey to launch Solana, Ethereum staking ETFs after resolving SEC comments. REX Shares said its staking Solana ETF, the first of its kind, would be "coming soon" in an X post on Friday.

WHAT WE’RE READING 📚

Want to get even smarter? Check these out.

p.s. all completely FREE (one click subscribe link)

• Raremints (link) - Daily crypto news

• Bitcoin Breakdown (link) - Daily Bitcoin news

• Techpresso (link) - Daily tech news and insights

• The Hustle (link) - Get Smarter on Business and Tech

• Your Next Breakthrough (link) - Personal growth with Mark Manson

• The Neuron (link) - AI trends and tools to keep you ahead

CAN YOU CRACK THIS NUT? ✍️

Select your answer below and you’ll be redirected to the results page. (answer explanation can be found after “Meme Corner”)

MEME CORNER 😂

Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

Trivia Answer: 32 ETH 🥳

To run a validator node, you need 32 ETH locked up - contributing to the network’s security and earning rewards in return. It’s proof of stake in action. 🧱💸

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DISCLAIMER: The content of this newsletter is not financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice. Please be careful and do your own research.