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GM to all of you nutcases. It’s Crypto Nutshell #755 sneakin’ in… 🥷🥜

We’re the crypto newsletter that’s more unhinged than a detective hunting a killer who’s always one step ahead… 🕵️‍♂️🔪

What we’ve cooked up for you today…

  • 😱 It keeps getting worse

  • 📣 Ignore the noise, Bitcoin to $1 million

  • 📉 Capitulation

  • 💰 And more…

Prices as at 2:25am ET

IT KEEPS GETTING WORSE 😱

BREAKING: Bitcoin, Ethereum Dive Deeper Amid AI and Macro Angst

Crypto just slipped into its ugliest week of 2025…

But the story underneath looks nothing like a real bear market.

Bitcoin crashed to $92K, its lowest level in six months. A brutal 27% drawdown from the October peak.

Across the board, it’s been the same picture:

  • ETH under $3K.

  • SOL down nearly 40 percent from its highs.

  • Crypto stocks nuked, miners hammered, ETFs bleeding billions.

And yet - analysts keep saying the same thing.

This isn’t bearish. This is structural.

As we explained yesterday, the entire $1.1 trillion wipeout happened with no major negative fundamental catalyst.

No regulatory crackdown. No ETF rug pull. No industry blow-up. Nothing.

Over the last 24 hours alone, liquidations blew past $900M, with over $550M in longs getting torched.

And just like every structural drawdown, sentiment has flipped to full panic.

Fear & Greed has cratered. ETF flows are negative. Prediction markets are leaning bearish again.

But here’s where things get interesting…

The fundamentals didn’t just hold - they strengthened.

According to Coinbase’s head of institutional strategy:

  • The first eurozone central bank (Czech Republic) just bought Bitcoin.

  • JPMorgan and Citibank are actively testing stablecoins for global settlement.

  • The Solana ETF posted the best ETF launch of the year.

  • ETF demand globally remains strong despite US selling.

None of that lines up with the price drop.

On-chain confirms the same story:

  • Long-term holders absorbed 186,000 BTC since Oct 6 - one of the largest increases in recent cycles.

  • Realized losses are stabilizing as short-term holders capitulate.

  • Supply held by “price-insensitive” investors is trending higher, not lower.

This is what structural resets look like. They clean out leverage. They drain weak hands. They create violent moves that break correlations. And then they rebuild.

Analysts now see two high-probability outcomes:

  1. A sharp reflexive rally as supply dries up and buyers finally overwhelm forced sellers.

  2. A final washout into the mid-high $80Ks before a durable trend reversal.

Either way, the message is the same:

Long-term capital is buying while sentiment is at its worst.

And these divergences never last long.

Zoom out. Has anything about the long-term thesis actually changed?

In our view - not at all.

This is short-term noise. Painful, yes. But not thesis-breaking.

The fundamentals are intact, adoption is rising, and Bitcoin’s trajectory hasn’t shifted.

Moments like this test conviction.

The market feels broken today.

But the foundation is not.

And that is usually where bottoms form. 🚀

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IGNORE THE NOISE, BITCOIN TO $1 MILLION 📣

Over the weekend, when Bitcoin nuked under $100K, on-chain sleuths spotted big movements in Strategy’s wallets.

Crypto Twitter did what it always does:

“Saylor is getting liquidated!”
“MicroStrategy is selling!”
The top is in!

Movements in Strategy’s wallets

But as we now know - that was all noise.

It wasn’t selling.
It wasn’t liquidation.

It was internal wallet shuffling.

And just like we covered yesterday… the truth was the exact opposite:

MicroStrategy was buying the dip. Hard.

Responding to the drama was mathematician Fred Krueger - one of the most level-headed voices in this space - who stepped in with the perspective everyone needed:

That’s the signal.

When price action gets violent, people default to fear.

But the players with the clearest math and the deepest pockets aren’t flinching.

They’re doubling down.

  • The thesis hasn’t changed.

  • The conviction hasn’t changed.

  • The endgame definitely hasn’t changed.

Bitcoin is still marching toward seven figures - with or without the weekend drama.

Ignore the short-term noise. Focus on the big picture. 📣

CAPITULATION 📉

Digital asset funds saw a third week of outflows totalling $2.04 billion last week.

That’s the largest weekly outflow since February this year.

Let’s break it down.

As usual, Bitcoin was the primary focus, experiencing outflows of $1.38 billion.

Ethereum also saw substantial outflows totalling $688.8 million.

Whilst XRP and Solana also saw outflows of 15.5 million and $8.3 million respectively.

From a regional perspective, the U.S. led with outflows of $1.98 billion.

Switzerland, Sweden, and Hong Kong followed with outflows of $39.9 million, $21.3 million, and $12.3 million respectively.

Negative sentiment is running hot, and December’s rate cut odds keep fading.

Layer in a wave of OG whale selling, and the recent pressure makes sense.

But this is classic late-stage capitulation.

Emotional outflows. Short-term fear. Not a shift in fundamentals.

The setup is simple: weak hands are exiting, strong hands are absorbing.

CRACKING CRYPTO 🥜

Bitcoin is built for exactly this moment as global money supply explodes to $142 trillion. Short-term pain is plunging investors into extreme fear but the failings of the fiat system mean the Bitcoin long-term thesis hasn't changed.

Bitcoin Price (BTC) Analysis: Whales Step In. Rising whale activity hints at strategic positioning during bitcoin’s downturn.

Vitalik Buterin unveils Kohaku, a privacy-focused framework for Ethereum. Kohaku is a suite of privacy-preserving crypto tools to enhance privacy and security in the Ethereum ecosystem.

Grayscale Poised to Debut Dogecoin ETF as VanEck's Solana Fund Starts Trading - Decrypt. A Grayscale ETF tracking popular meme coin Dogecoin could list next next week, while a VanEck Solana fund debuted Monday.

WHAT WE’RE READING 📚

Want to get even smarter? Check these out.

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  • The Hustle (link) - Get Smarter on Business and Tech

  • Your Next Breakthrough (link) - Personal growth with Mark Manson

  • The Neuron (link) - AI trends and tools to keep you ahead

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MEME CORNER 😂

Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

Trivia Answer: To keep block times near 10 minutes 🥳

Difficulty adjusts to maintain Bitcoin’s target block time of roughly 10 minutes, no matter how much hashpower joins. ⛏️

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