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GM to all 84,827 of you. Crypto Nutshell #532 spreadin’ wisdom… 📚🥜

We're the crypto newsletter that's more courageous than training a dragon and uniting two worlds against all odds... 🐉🔥

What we’ve cooked up for you today…

• 🚨 Crypto scam alert

• 🕊️ It’s will be okay

• 💪 Won’t let go

• 💰 And more…

What’s in the Crypto Nutshell Portfolio?

CRYPTO SCAM ALERT 🚨

BREAKING: Crypto thieves behind $2.2 million scam to be served lawsuit via NFT

New crypto scam alert…

New York Attorney General Letitia James has filed a lawsuit to recover more than $2 million in stolen cryptocurrency.

Victims were duped into buying crypto under the false promise of securing remote work opportunities.

Here’s what Letitia James had to say in a January 9 statement:

And here’s how the scam worked:

The scammers tricked victims, telling them to create crypto accounts, deposit funds and review products on fake websites.

Victims were then told to keep a crypto balance that matches or exceeds the cost of the products they reviewed.

They were promised that their money was only needed to help “legitmize” the data.

In return, the victims were assured they’d get their money back plus a hefty commission.

In reality, they never received a cent…

But the story doesn’t stop there…

Letitia James plans to serve the alleged scammers the lawsuit via an NFT airdropped into the scammer-controlled wallets (Now that’s an interesting way to tackle this issue).

Remember to stay safe out there.

Always be cautious of text messages from unknown senders.

And never deposit crypto in the hopes of securing a remote job…

In other news, Michael Saylor has posted a screenshot of SaylorTracker.com for the 10th consecutive week.

It’s all but guaranteed that Saylor will be announcing ANOTHER MicroStrategy Bitcoin purchase tomorrow morning.

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IT WILL BE OKAY 🕊️

The past week in crypto has not been fun.

After briefly surpassing $102,000, Bitcoin has now dropped to under $94,000.

Altcoins have also taken a hit, with most seeing double-digit percentage losses.

But there’s no need to panic - everything is going to be okay.

That’s the latest message out of Raoul Pal.

Raoul Pal is a macroeconomic expert with one of the best track records in crypto:

• First bought Bitcoin at just ~$200 🕰️

• In 2013, predicted Bitcoin would hit $100,000 per coin 🔮

• Recommended buying Solana in 2022 🧠

• Advised investors to buy Sui in 2024 🌊

Safe to say, his predictions are pretty good.

This week, Raoul broke down why everything is going to be okay.

First off, Raoul showed how our current cycle is shaping up very similar to the 2016/2017 cycle.

Coincidentally, this was the last time Trump was elected:

Bitcoin and global M2 tend to track each other fairly well.

This is because as fiat money is printed and becomes more readily available worldwide, a portion inevitably flows into Bitcoin.

Raoul then illustrated how the current cycle might unfold if it continues to mirror the 2016/2017 cycle:

A cycle peak of Bitcoin hitting $1,000,000. 🤯

Now, Raoul doesn’t expect this cycle to be an exact repeat but he does expect it to follow a similar pattern:

The key takeaway?

Don’t stress over what will ultimately be minor speed bumps in the long run:

WON’T LET GO 💪

Let’s kick off the week with a checkin on the Bitcoin HODL waves! 🌊 

Each coloured band shows the percentage of Bitcoin that last moved within that time period.

As the colours get cooler, the age bands get older (purple being the oldest, representing coins last moved more than 10 years ago).

As always, we’ll be focusing on long-term holders today. (coins held for more than 6 months)

Here’s the breakdown:

• 6m - 12m: 9.60%

• 1y - 2y: 8.84%

• 2y - 3y: 8.04%

• 3y - 5y: 14.73%

• 5y - 7y: 6.48%

• 7y - 10y: 6.27%

• >10y: 16.89%

That means that ~70.85% of the Bitcoin supply has NOT moved in over 6 months.

But…

Over the past two weeks, the amount of long-term holders has fallen by ~1.24%

However, the majority of this decrease is STILL coming from “younger” long-term holders.

More specifically, we’re once again talking about coins held for between 6 and 12 months.

Over the past two weeks, the 6m - 12m age band fell by ~0.07%

Whilst, coins held for longer than 7 years increased by 0.42%

Ultra long-term holders STILL aren’t ready to let go of their coins just yet.

They are clearly holding out for higher prices…

CRACKING CRYPTO 🥜

Spot Bitcoin ETFs mark first anniversary with four among Top 20 in AUM. IBIT led the bunch, with FBTC, ARKB, and BITB also making the list.

Binance altcoin dominance hits 78%, analyst eyes’ strong momentum’ ahead. A crypto analyst says the rising altcoin trading volumes on Binance signals “confidence in the potential for an altcoin bull market in 2025.”

Bhutan's Crypto Reserve Could Pave Way for Economic Growth in Other Countries. Smaller countries could strengthen economic growth by attracting foreign investment and utilizing available renewable energy resources to mine bitcoin.

Singapore bans Polymarket amid national crackdown on online gambling sites. Singapore joins Taiwan, France, the U.S., and others as a restricted jurisdiction.

WHAT WE’RE READING 📚

Want to get even smarter? Check these out.

p.s. all completely FREE (one click subscribe link)

• Raremints (link) - Daily crypto news

• Bitcoin Breakdown (link) - Twice weekly Bitcoin news

• Techpresso (link) - Daily tech news and insights

• The Hustle (link) - Get Smarter on Business and Tech

• Your Next Breakthrough (link) - Personal growth with Mark Manson

• The Neuron (link) - AI trends and tools to keep you ahead

CAN YOU CRACK THIS NUT? ✍️

Select your answer below and you’ll be redirected to the results page. (answer explanation can be found after “Meme Corner”)

MEME CORNER 😂

Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

Trivia Answer: C) 2012 🥳

Coinbase was founded in June 2012 by Brian Armstrong, a former Airbnb engineer.

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HOW DID WE DO? 🤷

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NUTCASE REVIEW OF THE DAY 🔍

DISCLAIMER: The content of this newsletter is not financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice. Please be careful and do your own research.