🄜 Michael Burry

PLUS: Bitcoin Double Down

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ET

What we’ve cooked up for you today…

  • šŸ¦ Trump doubles down

  • šŸ•Æļø Omega is coming…

  • āš–ļø Institutional adoption

  • šŸ’° And more…

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MARKET WATCH āš–ļø

market data

Prices as at 2:30am ET

Only the top 20 coins measured by market cap feature in this section

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TRUMP DOUBLES DOWN šŸ¦

BREAKING: Trump promises to embrace ā€˜Industries of the Future’ including crypto, AI

Bitcoin

Donald Trump has once again mentioned Bitcoin and crypto.

And before you roll your eyes…

This isn’t a Trump endorsement.

Right now we have a presidential candidate openly discussing Bitcoin and crypto as part of their campaign.

That’s a BIG deal. (the fact is, Kamala Harris has yet to mention anything about Bitcoin)

Speaking at the Economic Club of New York, this is what Trump had to say:

ā€œInstead of attacking industries of the future, we will embrace them, including making America the world capital for crypto and Bitcoin.ā€

Donald Trump

Continuing on, Trump explained:

ā€œI'm pledging today that in my second term, we will eliminate a minimum of ten old regulations for every one new regulation.ā€

Donald Trump

If we go back to July of this year, Trump also pledged to fire SEC Chairman Gary Gensler on day one of his term.

Trump clip

Click to watch the clip

With Trump’s latest interviews and speeches, he now has a 7 point lead over Kamala. (on Polymarket)

Polymarket

Ultimately, the crypto community believe that a Trump presidency would be a net benefit for Bitcoin.

FK tweet

Whereas a Kamala presidency would be a hindrance to Bitcoin adoption.

But what do you think?

Will Trump be good for Bitcoin or are these just empty promises? šŸ¤” 

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OMEGA IS COMING šŸ•Æļø

It may be taking longer than expected…

But the Bitcoin ā€˜Omega Candle’ is still coming.

That’s the latest out from Samson Mow.

smow1

So what exactly is the ā€˜Omega Candle’?

The ā€˜Omega Candle’ is a term coined by Samson, and it refers to when Bitcoin goes up $100,000 in a single trading day.

ā€˜Candles’ are how we track price movements on charts:

candle2

At the beginning of the year, Samson predicted that we’d not only see a ā€˜Omega Candle’ but there was also a good chance we’d see a $1 million Bitcoin:

ā€œI think we’re going to see a million this year… 2024.ā€

Samson Mow

In his latest update, Samson is standing by this prediction.

Despite there being only ~4 months left in the year:

ā€œSometimes I feel like Michael Burry in the Big Short. We know Omega is coming but it’s taking longer than expected.ā€

Samson Mow

If you haven’t seen the Big Short, it outlines how Michael Burry correctly bet against the 2008 financial crisis.

However, he was over a year early to the trade.

But in the end, he profited billions.

Samson’s advice?

ā€œIf your core thesis is correct you just need to keep focused and wait.ā€

Samson Mow

Our take?

A $1 million dollar Bitcoin by the end of this year is a touch too optimistic.

But - on a long enough timeline, do we think Bitcoiners get a similar ending to the Big Short?

Absolutely. šŸ’£

bigs1

ā€œSo I was rightā€¦ā€

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INSTITUTIONAL ADOPTION āš–ļø

Here comes the institutional adoption we’ve all been hearing about…

In a recent filing with the SEC, Morgan Stanley’s Institutional Counterpoint Global Fund reported exposure to Bitcoin.

Here’s the funds objective straight from Morgan Stanley’s website:

We seek established and emerging companies globally, that we believe have strong name recognition, sustainable competitive advantages… and an attractive risk/reward profile.

morgan stanley

From the SEC filing, the fund holds:

  • 4.0% of the total portfolio in MicroStrategy

  • 2.1% of the total portfolio in BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF

A 6.1% portfolio weighting towards Bitcoin/Bitcoin related stock is significant.

Institutional adoption is slowly but surely coming…

We’ve also got a bonus stat/chart for you today and it’s a fun one.

Did you know that Bitcoin has been actively trading longer than the Nasdaq?

It’s hard to believe at first, but it’s 100% true:

  • The Nasdaq stock market launched in 1971 and has been trading for 100,737 hours

  • The first Bitcoin exchange launched in 2010, since then Bitcoin has been trading for 123,774 hours

Isn’t that crazy?

Bitcoin is only 15 years old but is technically older than the stock market…

Here’s a chart to really hammer the point home.

Bitcoin

And yes we know that stock markets have been around longer than 1971…

However, then Nasdaq was the first electronic stock market to launch, so the comparison is a fair one.

That’s the benefit of trading 24/7, 365 days a year.

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CRACKING CRYPTO 🄜

New Mastercard crypto card lets users pay from self-custodial wallets. Mastercard enters crypto payments with new Mercuryo debit card.

Kamala Harris’ campaign isn’t directly accepting crypto — a Super PAC is. The Future Forward political action committee was able to receive crypto contributions for Kamala Harris’ election bid in 2024.

Bitcoin Flounders Ahead of Friday Jobs Report That Might Push Fed to Slash Rates by 50 Basis Points. The U.S. central bank has indicated it will begin cutting the fed funds rate at its mid-September meeting.

Polymarket's open interest soars past $100 million as crypto enthusiasts bet big on presidential election. Polymarket's open interest has experienced a jaw-dropping 1,429% increase this year, climbing from $7 million to $107 million.

WHAT WE’RE READING šŸ“š

Want to get even smarter? Check these out.

p.s. all completely FREE (one click subscribe link)

  • Raremints (link) - Daily crypto news

  • Bullseye Trades (link) - Daily stock market tips

  • Crypto Pragmatist (link) - Actionable alpha 3x a week

  • The Hustle (link) - Get Smarter on Business and Tech

  • Your Next Breakthrough (link) - Personal growth with Mark Manson

  • The Neuron (link) - AI trends and tools to keep you ahead

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CAN YOU CRACK THIS NUT? āœļø

Select your answer below and you’ll be redirected to the results page. (answer explanation can be found after ā€œMeme Cornerā€)

The Bitcoin ______ is the set of rules that define how the Bitcoin system operates.

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MEME CORNER šŸ˜‚

Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

meme

Trivia Answer: A) Protocol 🄳

The Bitcoin protocol is the set of rules that govern the functioning of Bitcoin.

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NUTCASE REVIEW OF THE DAY šŸ”

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DISCLAIMER: The content of this newsletter is not financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice. Please be careful and do your own research.

1 Balances of $1,000 or more earn 5% APY. Balances under $1,000 earn 2% APY. Rate is subject to change.

2 The USD Interest Account is a brokerage account offered by Atomic Brokerage LLC, member FINRA/SIPC, for participation in the Atomic Brokerage Cash Sweep Program. Cash deposited in the account solely for the purpose of accessing the Cash Sweep Program is not protected by SIPC. For full details about the program, see the Terms & Conditions. Content provided for informational purposes only and not investment advice. Crypto not offered through Atomic Brokerage. Crypto is offered by Uphold and held in an Uphold account. Neither Atomic Brokerage, nor any of its affiliates, is a bank. Full disclosure. 

3 You are able to have up to $2,500,000 ($250,000 per depositor, per insured bank for each account) Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) insurance for deposits in your Atomic Brokerage account when those deposits are swept to all ten Program Banks in the Atomic Cash Sweep Program (subject to coverage limits and eligibility requirements). Funds held in your Atomic Brokerage account are not FDIC insured. Funds held in your Atomic Brokerage account solely for the purpose of accessing the Cash Sweep are also not protected by SIPC.

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