Today’s edition is brought to you by Polymarket

GM to all you crypto nuts. Crypto Nutshell #447 solvin’ the puzzle… 🫶🥜

We're the crypto newsletter that's more enchanting than a fairy rising to reclaim her power and protect her kingdom... 🧚‍♀️🌿

What we’ve cooked up for you today…

  • 👮 A free man

  • 📅 Next 3 months

  • 📈 Now this is big

  • 💰 And more…

MARKET WATCH ⚖️

Prices as at 8:15am ET

Only the top 20 coins measured by market cap feature in this section

A FREE MAN 👮‍♂

BREAKING: Former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao released from custody on Friday

He’s back. 😲

Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, the former CEO of Binance, was released on Friday.

CZ’s release comes two days ahead of his scheduled release date this Sunday, Sep. 29.

(The Bureau of Prisons is legally allowed to release prisoners early if their release date falls on a weekend or holiday)

CZ’s first tweet since May 25, 2019

As a quick refresher:

In April of this year, CZ was sentenced to four months in prison.

Binance was found guilty of violating the Bank Secrecy Act by failing to set up a proper know-your-customer (KYC) program.

As part of his guilty plea, CZ agreed to pay a $50 million fine and step down as CEO of Binance.

Binance also agreed to pay a $4.3 billion fine to various US regulators as settlement.

But Binance isn’t out of the woods just yet…

The crypto exchange still faces a seperate lawsuit from the SEC, in which the SEC claims that Binance has:

  • Lied to customers

  • Failed to restrict US investors from accessing the exchange

  • Misdirected capital to separated investment funds owned by CZ

  • Operated as an unregistered securities exchange

Binance’s new CEO, Richard Teng, recently had this to say:

“We have pivoted quite differently from the time CZ was CEO, now Binance has a totally different corporate structure, it’s a board-led structure… CZ, of course, as a shareholder retains his shareholder’s rights, but on a day-to-day basis, on an ongoing basis, I work very closely with the board of directors in terms of our global strategy.”

Richard Teng

Bitcoin also just happens to be above $66,000 as soon as CZ is released

We’re so back. 🚀

Let’s close this section out with a bit trivia for you:

With a reported net worth of ~$60 billion, CZ is the wealthiest person ever to serve a prison sentence in the US.

DON’T TRUST THE POLLS, TRUST THE MARKETS 🤑

Prediction markets have taken the crypto world by storm, and one stands above the rest…

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market and your ultimate source for unbiased, real-time election forecasts. 📰

But what sets Polymarket apart is its accuracy.

Here’s a quick taste of what Polymarket traders have nailed so far:

  • Biden dropping out of the election

  • Kamala Harris’ nomination

  • VP running mates

  • And countless other real-world events

Need even more proof? Here’s one for you…

When the Fed cut interest rates by 0.50%, 92% of economists had predicted a 0.25% cut. 😢

But 52% of Polymarket traders knew better and got it right. 😃

For data-driven insights you can trust, Polymarket is where the truth comes to light.

*Forecasts available worldwide, trading not available in the U.S. and other restricted jurisdictions.

NEXT 3 MONTHS 📅

Over the next 3 months, Bitcoin will cross over $100,000.

By the end of the year, it will be at $150,000.

That’s the latest prediction out from PlanB.

PlanB is an early on-chain Bitcoin analyst.

He’s most well known for his Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow model.

That model predicts an average Bitcoin price of ~$500,000 from 2024-2028.

However, in his latest update, he broke down how he see’s the rest of 2024 playing out.

October:

Next month, Plan B predicts Bitcoin will move above $70,000.

Nothing crazy.

“Oct: classic pump month. BTC 70k

Plan B

November:

In November, Plan B has a contrarian take.

He predicts a Trump victory and Bitcoin new all-time highs.

“Nov: Trump wins election, ends democrats Biden/Harris/Warren/Gensler war on crypto. BTC 100k

Plan B

December:

At the end of the year, Plan B predicts we will see massive ETF inflows.

This will push Bitcoin to $150,000.

“Dec: massive ETF inflow. BTC 150k

Plan B

A $150,000 Bitcoin by end of year may seem outrageous.

But historically, Bitcoin does perform exceptionally well in Q4.

With the uncertainty of the U.S. election soon to clear, anything is possible… 👀

NOW THIS IS BIG 📈

The Bitcoin ETFs are popping off.

Yesterday, the Bitcoin ETFs experienced net inflows of $494.4 million!

Which brings this weeks total inflows to just over $1.1 billion.

These numbers are absolutely ridiculous.

And even Grayscale had an inflow of $26.2 million. 😆

But when you translate these flows into Bitcoin terms, things get even crazier…

Yesterday’s inflows of $494.4 million saw the Bitcoin ETFs acquire 7,526 BTC. 🤯

And over the course of the week, the ETFs acquired 17,709 BTC.

But here’s the kicker

Only 450 Bitcoin is mined a day. (2,250 mined from Monday - Friday)

The Bitcoin ETFs are considerably outpacing the amount of new Bitcoin entering the supply.

As we’ve mentioned throughout this newsletter…

The bull run is once again heating up. 🐂

Institutional investors are stacking hard.

It’s game on.

CRACKING CRYPTO 🥜

Bitcoin climbs to $66,000, marking best September performance in history. Bitcoin hits $66,000 amid market optimism fueled by the Fed's rate cut, economic stimulus in China and sustained institutional demand.

Binance founder CZ walks free from US prison. Binance founder CZ walks free after serving a four-month US prison sentence for Anti-Money Laundering violations. CZ is no longer Binance’s CEO, but the exchange continues to thrive.

Bitcoin FOMO is Back: $70K and Then New Record Highs in Sight, Says Analyst. A $10 billion surge in stablecoin minting over the past weeks has flooded the crypto market with liquidity, 10X Research's Markus Thielen noted.

Republican control of Senate would benefit digital assets, says Sen. Lummis. A U.S. Senate flip from Democrat to Republican-controlled would bode well for digital assets, said Sen. Lummis in an interview with CNBC.

WHAT WE’RE READING 📚

Want to get even smarter? Check these out.

p.s. all completely FREE (one click subscribe link)

  • Raremints (link) - Daily crypto news

  • Bitcoin Breakdown (link) - Twice weekly Bitcoin news

  • Crypto Pragmatist (link) - Actionable alpha 3x a week

  • The Hustle (link) - Get Smarter on Business and Tech

  • Your Next Breakthrough (link) - Personal growth with Mark Manson

  • The Neuron (link) - AI trends and tools to keep you ahead

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CAN YOU CRACK THIS NUT? ✍️

Select your answer below and you’ll be redirected to the results page. (answer explanation can be found after “Meme Corner”)

What term describes a significant upgrade or change to a blockchain’s protocol that is not backward-compatible, resulting in a split from the original chain?

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MEME CORNER 😂

Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

Trivia Answer: B) Hard fork 🥳

Hard forks are where the block-chain completely splits into two distinct and correct chains.

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NUTCASE REVIEW OF THE DAY 🔍

DISCLAIMER: The content of this newsletter is not financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice. Please be careful and do your own research.

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