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GM to all of you nutcases. It’s Crypto Nutshell #908 floatin‘ on by…🎈🥜

We're the crypto newsletter that's more clue-hungry than three neighbours finding the pattern before the elevator doors close… 🕵️🎙️

What we’ve cooked up for you today…

  • 🏦 Stablecoins are growing up

  • 🔑 A sign of the bottom?

  • 🛣 Flat

  • 💰 And more…

Prices as at 4:40am ET

STABLECOINS ARE GROWING UP 🏦

BREAKING: U.S. agencies seek stablecoin customer-ID rules akin to banks in new GENIUS Act pitch

Washington wants to know who's holding your stablecoins.

And the new Fed chair didn't want his name on the memo.

On Thursday, a whole alphabet of US regulators - the Fed, Treasury, FDIC, OCC, NCUA and FinCEN - dropped a 130-page proposal that would force stablecoin issuers to verify their customers just like banks do.

Name, birthdate, address, all cross-checked against government terror lists.

It's the first real attempt to put muscle behind the GENIUS Act, the law that legalised dollar stablecoins last summer.

The pitch is simple: if stablecoins are going to act like money, they have to play by money's rules.

Now for the interesting part.

Five Fed governors voted to approve it. Even Jerome Powell, now back to being a rank-and-file governor, signed off.

The one holdout? Kevin Warsh.

The new chair abstained, and gave exactly zero explanation for why…

Which is a little odd, given Warsh is supposed to be the most crypto-friendly chair the Fed's ever had.

A day after coming out swinging on inflation, he goes quiet on the biggest crypto rule of the year. Read into that what you will.

So why does any of this matter to you?

Because this is the unglamorous plumbing that decides whether stablecoins go mainstream. Bank-grade, KYC'd stablecoins are exactly what let the Mastercards and Coinbases of the world build on them without stepping on legal landmines.

Boring rules are how crypto rails earn trust.

But there's a sizeable hole in the plan.

Decentralised protocols are exempt. Fed Governor Michael Barr voted yes and still went out of his way to warn that bad actors can simply route around the rules through DeFi.

So the "everyone gets ID'd" headline isn't quite what it says on the tin.

And none of this is live yet.

It's only a proposal, with a 60-day comment window, more review after that, and a runway measured in months before anything becomes official.

The takeaway?

Stablecoins are growing up, and that's bullish for adoption.

Just keep an eye on the loophole nobody closed… and the one chair who wouldn't sign. 🚀

Manufacturing Legend Backs Greenfield Robotics

Howard Dahl spent decades building the machines that feed America. His family invented the Bobcat skid steer. The air drills planting nearly every commodity crop globally? Those too. Now Dahl is manufacturing weed-cutting robots for Greenfield Robotics out of his Fargo factory, and he wrote his own check on top of it. 

Greenfield's current fleet is sold out, with over $1 million in total revenue and robots in the field since 2020. Chipotle’s venture arm and KingsCrowd Capital are also on board. The robots slice weeds with centimeter precision, replacing herbicides linked to environmental damage and rising health concerns among farmers. 

Greenfield is now in Test the Waters under Reg A+. Reserving shares today locks in a 5% bonus that can grow to 20% the week the round opens to the public.

Greenfield Robotics is Testing The Waters under tier 2 of Regulation A. No money or other consideration is being solicited, and if sent in response will not be accepted. No offer to buy the securities can be accepted and no part of the purchase price can be received until the offering statement filed by the company with the SEC has been qualified by the SEC. Any such offer may be withdrawn or revoked, without obligation or commitment of any kind, at any time before notice of acceptance given after the date of qualification. An indication of interest involves no obligation or commitment of any kind. “Reserving” shares is simply an indication of interest. There is no binding commitment for investors that reserve shares in this manner to ultimately invest and purchase the shares reserved of the company, or to purchase any shares of the company whatsoever.

A SIGN OF THE BOTTOM? 🔑

While everyone argues about Ethereum's price, the on-chain data just flashed one of the most bullish signals of the cycle.

A sign of the bottom, perhaps

Is this the Ethereum bottom?

It comes down to Ethereum's validator queue - the line of people waiting to stake their ETH versus the line waiting to exit.

And right now, the imbalance is staggering:

People waiting to exit Ethereum staking: Red

Look at the 2 sides.

The exit queue is basically at zero. Almost nobody is unstaking their ETH. If you wanted to pull your stake out today, you could do it in minutes. No waiting.

Meanwhile, the entry queue is stacked with nearly 3 million ETH waiting to get in. People are lining up and willing to wait 50 days just to start staking.

Why does this matter?

Staking is the ultimate long-term conviction signal. When you stake ETH, you're locking it up to earn yield, not trading it, not selling it. A near-empty exit queue means existing stakers aren't bailing. A packed entry queue means new capital is fighting to get in.

In other words, the people closest to Ethereum, the ones actually running the network, are doubling down at the exact moment sentiment is at its lows.

Low exit pressure. Heavy entry demand. Locked-up supply growing by the day.

This is what real, structural confidence looks like. And it's happening while the price does nothing. 🔑

FLAT 🛣

Today we’ll be taking a look at the amount of Bitcoin available for sale on exchanges.

Here’s how to interpret this metric:

  • Decreasing exchange balances: Bullish indicator as it signals a shift towards long-term holding 🐂

  • Increasing exchange balances: Bearish indicator as coins being transferred to exchanges are more likely to be sold 🐻

2.71 million BTC on exchanges. The exact same as two weeks ago.

Flat. And after months of steady decline, flat is the story.

Bitcoin's exchange balances have stopped draining. For the last several editions they've chopped sideways between 2.68 and 2.71 million, and this fortnight they simply held at the top of that range. No fresh coins leaving… but none piling back on either.

That's the real divergence with ETH. Ethereum's exchange supply is still draining - faster than before, as we covered. Bitcoin's has flatlined. The two moved down together for most of the year. Now they've split.

Let's not overstate it. This is a flatline, not a surge, and balances are still sitting modestly below where the year began. The absolute level has barely budged.

But a Bitcoin supply that's stopped tightening - while ETH keeps squeezing - is a behaviour shift worth tracking. The next reading tells us whether the drain resumes… or whether coins start drifting back onto exchanges for real. 💪

CRACKING CRYPTO 🥜

Algorand Plans to Be Ready for Quantum Computing Threat by End of 2027. Quantum computing threatens the blockchain ecosystem, from Bitcoin to Ethereum and beyond, and Algorand says it has a plan to be prepared.

Alchemy's AI-driven identity and payment service gains access to Visa network. The AgentCard integration with Visa Intelligent Commerce lets AI agents built on major models execute commercial transactions.

HIVE secures $220M AI infrastructure contract with Bell and Cohere. The deal is expected to add about $70 million in annual recurring revenue as the bitcoin miner scales its AI-focused operations.

Kraken integrates Solana DEX trading into core app, with support for additional networks planned. Kraken launched onchain DEX trading to give customers access to thousands of Solana ecosystem tokens.

WHAT WE’RE READING 📚

Want to get even smarter? Check these out.

p.s. all completely FREE (one click subscribe link)

  • Raremints (link) - Daily crypto news

  • Bitcoin Breakdown (link) - Daily Bitcoin news

  • Techpresso (link) - Daily tech news and insights

  • The Hustle (link) - Get Smarter on Business and Tech

  • Your Next Breakthrough (link) - Personal growth with Mark Manson

  • The Neuron (link) - AI trends and tools to keep you ahead

CAN YOU CRACK THIS NUT? ✍️

Select your answer below and you’ll be redirected to the results page. (answer explanation can be found after “Meme Corner”)

MEME CORNER 😂

Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

Trivia Answer: Running smart contracts on Ethereum and compatible networks. 🥳

The EVM is the execution environment that processes smart-contract code. It is one reason many chains can support Ethereum-style apps, wallets, and developer tools.

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