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PLUS: Ethereum ETF odds
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What weāve cooked up for you todayā¦
𤨠Why is crypto dumping
š¤·āāļø Ethereum ETFs, whats going on?
š The ETH/BTC ratio
š° And moreā¦

MARKET WATCH āļø

Prices as at 6:15am ET
Only the top 20 coins measured by market cap feature in this section

WHY IS CRYPTO DUMPING? š³
BREAKING: Bitcoin nose dives as political tensions escalate in the Middle East

Another rough day for crypto. š³
Bitcoinās price plummeted over 8.5% after Iran launched an attack on Israel.
Within minutes of the attack, Bitcoinās price dropped from $67,000 down to $61,000.
At the time of writing, Iranās attack on Israel is over.
And Bitcoin has somewhat bounced back to $65,000.

As weāve said before, price drawdowns like these are typical of bull markets.
As technical analyst, Benjamin Cowen said:
āSo far, this is a normal drop. In fact, weāve had several 20-22% drops this cycle.ā
Willy Woo also highlighted the impact that the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war had on Bitcoin.
According to Willy Woo, recovery can expected within the coming days.

Saylor also had this to say.
And although war is never goodā¦
Chaos is good for Bitcoin.

The lesson for today?
Twitter user Rekt Capital summed it up perfectly.

Donāt be scared when drawdowns like these happen in a bull market.
Itās perfectly normal.
With less than 5 days until the Bitocin halving, all dips should be viewed as opportunities. š

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ETHEREUM ETFs, WHATS GOING ON? š¤·āāļø
The Ethereum ETFs will be delayed in May.
But thatāll end up being better for them in the long run.
Thatās the message out from Matt Hougan.

Matt Hougan is the Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, the 4th largest Bitcoin ETF issuer.
In his latest interview, Matt shared his thoughts on the Ethereum ETF situation.
Hereās what he had to say:
āI do think it [ETH ETF] will happen eventually, Iām not scared off by the SECās probe into Ethereumās security status. I donāt put too much stock into that, given the strong arguments in favour of Ethereum not being a security.ā
Matt expects that weāll eventually see an Ethereum ETF, just not in May of this yearā¦
āIām skeptical that weāll get it in May. But I think that will be better for the market. The reason it will be better for the market is weāre still having conversations around Bitcoin.ā
The Bitcoin ETFs still havenāt been approved on major wealth platforms.
They havenāt been digested yet by all of the big, sophisticated players.
Matt also explained that heās still speaking with numerous financial advisors about Bitcoin.
Throwing Ethereum into the mix, just doesnāt make that much sense⦠yetā¦
Matt believes if Ethereum ETFs were to be approved in May, it would just complicate the conversations.
āIf people have had 9 months of experience owning Bitcoin ETFs, then theyāll be ready for Ethereum and the flows will be significant. I think if it launches in May, the flows will be limited.ā
Imagine being these financial advisors.
Having just learnt about Bitcoin and then the next day someone recommends that you now need to learn about Ethereumā¦
Regardless, Matt is still confident that we will eventually see the Ethereum ETFs.
(Maybe at the end of this year?) š¤

THE ETH/BTC RATIO š
Today weāll be taking a look at the ETH/BTC ratio.
The ETH/BTC ratio is a simple way to gauge Ethereumās performance relative to Bitcoin.
And unfortunately it isnāt looking good⦠(for Ethereum)
Hereās what this metric indicates:
ETH/BTC ratio increasing: Ethereum has gained strength, market preference for ETH over BTC šŖ
ETH/BTC ratio decreasing: Ethereum has lost strength, market now favours BTC over ETH š„
The cool thing about this metric is that it goes beyond price performance. We can use it to understand the current market sentiment on the top two crypto assets.

Currently, the ETH-BTC ratio is 0.0468, the lowest itās been since March 2021.
And it's no secret that Bitcoin has dominated Ethereum over the last 12 months:
Bitcoin: +108.57%
Ethereum: +40.45%
There's one HUGE reason why BTC has completely outperformed ETH by such a margin.
The ETFs...
There's just way to much hype surrounding them.
And at this point in the cycle, the market simply prefers Bitcoin.
But this is what usually happens.
First Bitcoin runs, then Ethereum gets its time in the spotlight, and finally memecoin mania picks up.
āHistory doesnāt repeat itself, but it often rhymes.ā

CRACKING CRYPTO š„
How Asiaās next crypto investment wave will be ignited from Bitcoin ETFs. On January 10, 2024, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved multiple applications for spot Bitcoin ETFs.
Bitcoin nose dive as political tensions escalate in the Middle East. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies fall sharply following Iranās attack on Israel.
Hacker Sentenced to 3 Years in Prison for Stealing Over $12M From Crypto Exchanges. Shakeeb Ahmed stole over $12 million from Nirvana Finance and a DEX thought to be Crema Finance.
BlackRock bitcoin fund accounts for 20% of the firmās Q1 ETF net inflows. BlackRock reported during a Friday earnings call that IBIT has seen net inflows on every trading day since its Jan. 11 launch.
WHAT WEāRE READING š
Want to get even smarter? Check these out.
p.s. all completely FREE

CAN YOU CRACK THIS NUT? āļø
Select your answer below and youāll be redirected to the results page. (answer explanation can be found after āMeme Cornerā)
This altcoin is meant to be āsilver to Bitcoinās goldā. |
MEME CORNER š
Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

Trivia Answer: A) Litecoin š„³
Litecoin was originally dubbed āsilver to Bitcoinās goldāā¦. But that doesnāt seem to be holding up these days.
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DISCLAIMER: The content of this newsletter is not financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice. Please be careful and do your own research.
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