
GM to all of you nutcases. It’s Crypto Nutshell #737 gettin’ the picture… 📷🥜
We're the crypto newsletter that's more action-packed than a retired assassin forced back into the underworld he left behind... 🔫🐾

What we’ve cooked up for you today…
😱 More pain ahead
🧮 Bitcoin vs Gold: The Math
📉 It keeps going lower
💰 And more…


Prices as at 3:30am ET

MORE PAIN AHEAD 😱
BREAKING: Bitcoin Primed for Dip to $100K Before 'Uptober' Resumes, Says Standard Chartered

According to Standard Chartered, Bitcoin’s next big move could begin with one final flush…
Global head of digital assets research Geoffrey Kendrick said a dip below $100,000 “seems inevitable”.
But he did add that the decline could be short-lived - and may even mark the last opportunity to buy before the next major rally.
“A dip below $100,000 seems inevitable, although the dump may be short-lived.”
Kendrick wrote, calling it “the last time bitcoin is EVER below” that level.
Bitcoin is currently trading around $107,000, down about 14% from its $126,000 all-time high earlier this month.
The sell-off, Kendrick said, was triggered by renewed U.S.–China trade-war fears that caused a “fear-driven selloff.”
Still, he emphasized that his year-end target of $200,000 remains unchanged, and that any drop below six figures could be the final dip before Bitcoin resumes its historic “Uptober” trend.
Historically, October and November have been Bitcoin’s strongest months, rising 19.8% and 46% on average since 2013, according to CoinGlass.

Kendrick is also watching the relationship between gold and Bitcoin as a potential turning point for the market.
“Yesterday’s sharp gold selloff coincided with a strong intra-day bounce in Bitcoin… This was presumably a ‘sell gold, buy Bitcoin’ flow. Medium-term I expect more of this, and further such evidence would be constructive for a Bitcoin low being formed.”
Gold’s price has dropped from a record $4,381 per ounce to around $4,100, its largest single-day decline in more than a decade - suggesting a possible rotation of capital from traditional havens into digital ones.
Beyond that, Kendrick said he’s monitoring liquidity conditions closely, adding:
“The question for me is when does the Fed see them as ‘tight’ and react by either acknowledging said measures or stopping QT [quantitative tightening].”
For now, Bitcoin’s 50-week moving average - a level that’s held since early 2023 - continues to act as a base for price action.
Kendrick’s bottom line:
“Stay nimble and ready to buy the dip below $100,000 if it comes.”
If he’s right, this correction won’t mark the end of this cycle.
It’ll mark the beginning of Bitcoin’s next leg higher. 🚀

Where to Invest $100,000 According to Experts
Investors face a dilemma. Headlines everywhere say tariffs and AI hype are distorting public markets.
Now, the S&P is trading at over 30x earnings—a level historically linked to crashes.
And the Fed is lowering rates, potentially adding fuel to the fire.
Bloomberg asked where experts would personally invest $100,000 for their September edition. One surprising answer? Art.
It’s what billionaires like Bezos, Gates, and the Rockefellers have used to diversify for decades.
Why?
Contemporary art prices have appreciated 11.2% annually on average
…And with one of the lowest correlations to stocks of any major asset class (Masterworks data, 1995-2024).
Ultra-high net worth collectors (>$50M) allocated 25% of their portfolios to art on average. (UBS, 2024)
Thanks to the world’s premiere art investing platform, now anyone can access works by legends like Banksy, Basquiat, and Picasso—without needing millions. Want in? Shares in new offerings can sell quickly but…
*Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Important Reg A disclosures: masterworks.com/cd.

BITCOIN VS GOLD: THE MATH 🧮
As we covered this week, Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock - the man who “owns the world” - just compared Bitcoin to gold on 60 Minutes.
Now Hunter Horsley just explained why Bitcoin might actually beat it.

Hunter Horsley is the co-founder & CEO of Bitwise.
He broke down why Bitcoin will beat gold in one simple tweet:

Think about that.
Gold needs $680 billion of demand every year just to stand still.
Bitcoin? Just $24 billion.
That’s a 28x smaller wall of money required to absorb new supply - and with ETFs, institutions, and corporate treasuries already buying billions each month, the imbalance is obvious.
If the world’s biggest asset manager is comparing it to gold…
and one of crypto’s sharpest minds is proving the math…
the direction is clear.
Bitcoin isn’t catching up to gold - it’s out-efficiencing it. 🧠

IT KEEPS GOING LOWER 📉
Today we’ll be checking in on the amount of Ethereum available for sale on exchanges.
Here’s how to interpret this metric:
Decreasing exchange balances: Bullish indicator as it signals a shift towards long-term holding 🐂
Increasing exchange balances: Bearish indicator as coins being transferred to exchanges are more likely to be sold 🐻

Only 13.79 million ETH remain on exchanges - just 11.38% of the total supply.
Since the start of the year, 5.14 million ETH (worth ~$19.91 billion) has been withdrawn from exchange wallets.
Let that sink in…
This is what a supply shock looks like before it happens.
ETH is being drained from exchanges. Institutions are accumulating. Demand is building.
And when vanishing supply meets rising demand, there’s only one direction left for price to go - up. 🚀

CRACKING CRYPTO 🥜
Bitcoin vs. Gold: Does October's near zero correlation shatter 'digital gold' myth? Bitcoin fell first, gold followed days later. October proved the two inflation hedges no longer share the same rhythm.
Arthur Hayes calls for $1M Bitcoin as new Japan PM orders economic stimulus. Arthur Hayes predicted a Bitcoin rise to $1 million, fueled by the fresh economic package ordered by Japan’s new prime minister, Sanae Takaichi.
U.S. Senate Democrats Assure Crypto CEOs They're Still Willing to Move Legislation. Several top crypto executives met with senators to hash out next steps on moving forward with the bill that would regulate U.S. crypto markets.
Coinbase unveils tool for AI agents like Claude and Gemini to access crypto wallets. The tool comes on the heels of the launch of the x402 Foundation, a Coinbase and Cloudflare-backed initiative to standardize AI-payments.
WHAT WE’RE READING 📚
Want to get even smarter? Check these out.
p.s. all completely FREE (one click subscribe link)
Raremints (link) - Daily crypto news
Bitcoin Breakdown (link) - Daily Bitcoin news
Techpresso (link) - Daily tech news and insights
The Hustle (link) - Get Smarter on Business and Tech
Your Next Breakthrough (link) - Personal growth with Mark Manson
The Neuron (link) - AI trends and tools to keep you ahead
CAN YOU CRACK THIS NUT? ✍️
Select your answer below and you’ll be redirected to the results page. (answer explanation can be found after “Meme Corner”)
What determines how hard it is to mine a new Bitcoin block?
MEME CORNER 😂
Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

Trivia Answer: Difficulty adjustment 🥳
Bitcoin’s difficulty adjustment changes roughly every 2 weeks to keep block times near 10 minutes. ⚙️
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DISCLAIMER: The content of this newsletter is not financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice. Please be careful and do your own research.