GM to the winners club. Crypto Nutshell Pro #90 bouncin in… 🦘🥜
If you’re new here, each Crypto Nutshell Pro is broken down into 2 sections:
🔮 What’s coming? - Macro Outlook
⏰ Market Indicators: time to buy or sell?
The goal?
Help you understand exactly where we are in the cycle.
By now, you should have read through the following page: Read This First
(Click the button at the bottom of the page to continue the welcome series - there are 4 pages in total to read)
These give you a broad overview of the Crypto Nutshell Pro Portfolio and how we’re looking to play the second-half of this bull run.
And in case you missed last weeks Nutshell Pro, you can check that out here.
Now, let’s jump in…
Disclaimer
If you’re new here, this is a weekly personal research report intended as a tool for you to complement your own analysis. These insights are not recommendations but rather what is being considered for investment and the rational behind the choices.
Please note that this information is exclusive to Crypto Nutshell Pro members, so refrain from sharing it. You are free to use it as you wish—whether as a starting point for your own research, as a tool to enhance your research skills, or simply to track how things unfold.
Ultimately, the choice of how to use this information is up to you. If you choose to invest based off this information, you accept full responsibility for that decision.
This report presents a simplified & filtered overview of an extensive research process, which is based off high-quality data from paid reports, newsletters, and tools. Accessing this data is costly, costing tens of thousands per year, as many sources employ dedicated teams for data collection.
Crypto Nutshell Pro serves as a filter, analysing and synthesising this data to provide unique insights, drawing from deeper crypto expertise compared to many source teams. By starting with top-tier research, we aim to refine it into valuable insights for you to further explore and utilise as a resource.
The Stress Test 🥊
Bitcoin closed July around $63,000, down -3% on Friday but up 7.5% on the month, its best month of the year.
Ethereum is sitting near $1,866, holding onto the outperformance streak that made it the story of July.
Now let’s count what got thrown at this market over those four weeks.
A hawkish Fed.
Rate hike odds jumping to 82% for September.
An AI trade that shed nearly $800 billion in a single session.
A $70 million exploit in one of Bitcoin's most trusted hardware wallets.
And an Iran war that just re-escalated again.
The broader crypto market's answer? It just printed its best month in a year.
Every one of those punches should have broken the floor. None of them did.
Let's get into it. 👇
1. The Month That Should Have Broken Us
Bitcoin has now spent a full month locked inside one band: $60,000 to $66,000.
Here's why the resilience matters more than the chop.
Bitfinex nailed the mechanics: crypto entered this stretch with far less leverage than equities because the late-June crash below $58,000 already flushed everyone out. Daily liquidations have run well below the normal $400-500 million range ever since.
Their line says it all:
"Crypto fell less than levered equity themes because the forced-selling fuel was already spent."
Bitcoin’s best month all year
The sellers who could be forced out already were. What's left is a holder base that just absorbed a month of bad news without folding. That's what a base being built actually looks like from the inside.
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