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PLUS: Rough week for the ETFs
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What weāve cooked up for you todayā¦
š¦ Australia ETF launch
š² When To Sell Your Bitcoin
š¤ Market cycle - where are we?
š° And moreā¦

MARKET WATCH āļø

Prices as at 5:25am ET
Only the top 20 coins measured by market cap feature in this section

AUSTRALIA ETF LAUNCH š¦
BREAKING: ASXās first Bitcoin ETF taps $1.3M volume on first trading day

The first Bitcoin ETF to launch on Australiaās largest stock exchange (ASX) closed its first day of trading with $1.3 million in trade volume.
Thatās quite a lot less than the US Bitcoin ETFsā¦
On the first day of trading, the US Bitcoin ETFs did a combined $4.5 billion in trade volume. (averaging $450 million each)
Keep in mind, the Australian ETF market is significantly smaller than the US market. ($192 billion vs $8.1 trillion)
This is what VanEckās deputy head of investments and capital markets Jamie Hannah had to say:
āNotwithstanding the Australian market being a lot smaller than the U.S. and most of our flow being retail rather than institutional, there is a possibility that we may follow a similar path.ā
Continuing on, Hannah added:
āWe have had a significant amount of retail and professional investors express strong interest in getting Bitcoin exposure through ASX.ā
In other ETF newsā¦
Itās been a rough week again for the US Bitcoin ETFs.
So far weekly outflows are are at $298.3 million.
(The US stock market was closed this Wednesday)

Itās also the 4th outflow day in a row. š±
Itās going to take a BIG Thursday and Friday to turn this weekly outflow around.

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WHEN TO SELL YOUR BITCOIN š²
Itās the question everyone has to ask themselves at some point:
When do you sell your Bitcoin?
$100,000? $1 million? $10 million?
According to Michael Saylor:
You do not sell your Bitcoin.
Bitcoin Prague 2024 just wrapped up last week.
The highlight of the event was a keynote by Michael Saylor titled: 21 Rules of Bitcoin.
The entire talk was a masterclass. Although we canāt cover all 21 rules of Bitcoin, some of the best were:
Rule 5: Bitcoin is the only game in the casino that we can all win
Rule 8: Everyone gets Bitcoin at the price they deserve
Rule 10: Tickets to escape the Matrix are priced in Bitcoin
However, 1 rule in particular, stood above the rest:
Rule 20: You do not sell your Bitcoin
Hereās how Saylor broke it down:
āBitcoin has been going up 50% a year, for the past 4 years. Every time you sold it, you gave up the best performing asset in the world to buy what?ā
Put even more simply:
āDiversification is selling the winner to buy the loser.ā
Keep in mind, Michael Saylor didnāt just make his money from building a successful company.
Heās also a ridiculously successful investor. Saylor made ~$500 million from early investments in Apple, Amazon, Facebook & Google.
Rule 20 will serve you well.
P.S If you have a spare 45 minutes, check out the full keynote here. (Itās well worth a watch.)

MARKET CYCLE - WHERE ARE WE? š¤
Today weāll be taking a look at the MVRV Z-Score.
This metric simply compares the market value to the realized value.
Market Value (Market cap): current price of Bitcoin multiplied by the circulating supply
Realized Value: the value of all coins at the price they were last moved
A market top (red zone) is categorised by market value being significantly higher than the realized value.
A market bottom (green zone) is categorised by market value being significantly lower than the realized value. (also the best time to scoop up cheap Bitcoin)

You can think about this metric as a market cycle gauge.
It visually breaks down where we currently are in the cycle.
Since the cycle bottom in November 2022, MVRV has been rallying. With some dips along the way of course.
Currently itās at 2.13 (Two weeks ago it was at 2.55)
(MVRV follows the price of Bitcoin, thatās why itās dipped so much over the last two weeks)
But, MVRV is still in-between the green and red zones.
Meaning weāre roughly in the middle of the cycle.
Weāve still got a long way to go before Bitcoinās deemed āovervaluedā by this metric.
Quick reminder that weāre also about to enter what Raoul Pal has dubbed the ābanana zoneāā¦
Expect this metric to drastically rise over the next few months. š

CRACKING CRYPTO š„
Martin Shkreli, Barron Trump and Andrew Tate allegedly involved in Donald Trump token drama. Earlier today, Arkham announced a $150,000 bounty for the identity of the DJT token creator.
āInsane amountā of Bitcoin shorters are hoping it wonāt go to $70K. An āinsane amountā of Bitcoin short positions will be liquidated if Bitcoin returns to $70,000.
Binance Fined $2.2M by Indiaās Financial Intelligence Unit. Binance became the first offshore crypto-related entity, along with KuCoin, to be approved by Indiaās Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) in May.
Bitcoin Whales Sold Over $1B BTC in Past Two Weeks. The selling coincides with net outflows from U.S.-listed bitcoin ETFs in the same period, data shows.
WHAT WEāRE READING š
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CAN YOU CRACK THIS NUT? āļø
Select your answer below and youāll be redirected to the results page. (answer explanation can be found after āMeme Cornerā)
Approximately, how often is the Bitcoin Halving? |
MEME CORNER š
Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

Trivia Answer: B) 4 years š„³
Approximately every 4 years the amount of new Bitcoin entering the supply gets cut in half.
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