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PLUS: 1 Year ETF anniversary
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GM to all 84,827 of you. Crypto Nutshell #531 shininā brightā¦ š š„
We're the crypto newsletter that's more adventurous than sailing beyond the reef to restore the heart of Te Fiti... ššļø

What weāve cooked up for you todayā¦
š¦ 1 year anniversary
š Road to Valhalla
š Itās in free fall
š° And moreā¦


Prices as at 4:55am ET

1 YEAR ANNIVERSARY š¦
BREAKING: US Bitcoin ETFsā first anniversary: A surge far above expectations

Itās officially been one year since the the US Bitcoin ETFs began trading.
And their launch has been absolutely insane to say the leastā¦
BlackRockās Bitcoin ETF is the best performing ETF launch of ALL TIME. (Inflation adjusted)
Let that sink inā¦
Bitcoin infiltrated the traditional finance world and demolished every record it possibly could.
Fidelity, Ark Invest and Bitwise also made the top 20 US ETF launches of all time.

CoinShares head of research James Butterfill had this to say:
āOur estimates were a much more modest $14 billion for the year, far surpassing our expectations obviously and far above pretty much every other prediction.ā
In total, the US Bitcoin ETFs has seen net inflows of ~$36 billion since they began trading.
This is despite ~$21.58 billion in outflows from Grayscale.
But check this outā¦
The chart below is a comparison between the inflows into the gold and Bitcoin ETFs by year.

It isnāt even close.
Whatās next for the Bitcoin ETFs?
After surpassing everyones expectations in 2024, can the Bitcoin ETFs have another impressive year?
According to industry experts, the answer is yesā¦
Bitwiseās CIO, Matt Hougan, explained that second-year inflows tend to exceed first-year results in nearly every case:
āThe reality is that most professional investors still are prohibited from accessing Bitcoin ETFs. That will change in 2025, and I expect 2025 flows to significantly exceed 2024ās.ā
If thatās true, 2025 is going to be BIG. š

This was wrongā¦
We messed up.
This week we opened the Crypto Nutshell Pro to an additional 25 members.
All 25 spots were taken in under 60 minutes
After the huge amount of feedback we received, we realised this was unfair.
We all have busy lives - not everyone can check their emails in the first 60 minutes.
To make it up to those that missed out, weāve opened 10 more slots for the new year.
However, this is it. Once the 10 new slots are gone, theyāre gone.
By signing up, hereās what youāll get:
Exactly what we hold - A look into exactly what weāre holding in our portfolio
Altcoin Coverage - Detailed analysis on altcoins
Bull / Sell indicators - know exactly when we believe itās a good time to enter and exit positions
Watch list - Which coins weāre keeping a close eye on
If we do open the group up again, it will be at higher prices.
See you on the inside!

ROAD TO VALHALLA š
Donāt be fooled by the market crash, we are still in the āBanana Zoneā.
We are just in the transition period from phase 1 to phase 2.
Thatās the latest message out from Raoul Pal.
To say the least, crypto has been not so fun the past week. Bitcoin is down ~5% and most other coins are down at least ~10%.
However, donāt fear. Outlined in his most recent post, Raoul believes this correction wonāt last long.
First off, Raoul breaks down how āBanana Zone Phase 1ā was the break-out period from the election, until now:
āBanana Zone Phase 1 was the break out last year, now the consolidation (like the 2016/17 consolidation after phase 1). This won't last long..ā
Next, Raoul believes we will transition into āBanana Zone Phase 2ā - the āBanana Singularityā:
āNext up Banana Zone Phase 2 - The "Banana Singularity" (Alts szn) when everything goes up (followed by a bigger consolidation)."
Finally, Raoul predicts the the bull-run will end with āBanana Zone Phase 3ā:
āBanana Zone Phase 3 when the core winners explode onto make much higher highs (concentration phase). That is my roadmap to Valhalla. Let's see...ā
Raoulās predictions for this cycle so far have been spot on.
If heās right (which we think he is) this correction will be short lived.
True altcoin season is just about to begin. š

ITāS IN FREE FALL š
Today weāll be checking in on the amount of Ethereum available for sale on exchanges.
Hereās how to interpret this metric:
Decreasing exchange balances: Bullish indicator as it signals a shift towards long-term holding š
Increasing exchange balances: Bearish indicator as coins being transferred to exchanges are more likely to be sold š»

Currently there is 12,270,243 Ethereum available for sale on exchanges.
Thatās ~10.23% of the entire circulating supply.
And hereās the interesting partā¦
As a percentage, thereās even less Ethereum on exchanges compared to Bitcoin.
As of today, 13.98% of the circulating Bitcoin supply is sitting on an exchange.
Over the course of 2024, Ethereum exchange balances decreased by 1,695,073 ETH.
Thatās $5.55 billion at todayās prices!
As Ethereum continues to leave exchanges, it signals that investors have a preference for long-term holding.
And with ~89.77% of the supply not sitting on an exchangeā¦
Thatās a big deal.
Put simply, there just isnāt that much Ethereum available for sale right now.

CRACKING CRYPTO š„
Thailand seizes 996 Bitcoin miners after busting local operation stealing electricity. Thai authorities expose digital asset trading firm JIT Co. for bypassing millions in power costs with altered meters.
Bitcoin Funding Rates Briefly Went Negative, Usually Marks a Local Bottom. Glassnode data shows that the perpetual funding rate went negative for the first time in 2025.
CFPB proposes crypto firms refund users for funds lost to hacks. A proposed CFPB rule could allow crypto users to have protections similar to those of US bank account holders by considering the definition of āfunds.ā
Standard Chartered to offer crypto custody services in EU with new Luxembourg license. Standard Chartered has received a license in Luxembourg to offer crypto custody services through a new entity.
WHAT WEāRE READING š
Want to get even smarter? Check these out.
p.s. all completely FREE (one click subscribe link)
Raremints (link) - Daily crypto news
Bitcoin Breakdown (link) - Twice weekly Bitcoin news
Techpresso (link) - Daily tech news and insights
The Hustle (link) - Get Smarter on Business and Tech
Your Next Breakthrough (link) - Personal growth with Mark Manson
The Neuron (link) - AI trends and tools to keep you ahead

CAN YOU CRACK THIS NUT? āļø
Select your answer below and youāll be redirected to the results page. (answer explanation can be found after āMeme Cornerā)
What hash function does Bitcoin use? |
MEME CORNER š
Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

Trivia Answer: C) SHA-256 š„³
The SHA-256 function that Bitcoin uses is short for āSecure Hash Algorithmā and was designed by the United States National Security Agency (NSA)
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DISCLAIMER: The content of this newsletter is not financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice. Please be careful and do your own research.
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