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PLUS: HODLers Standing Strong

GM to all 29,003 of you. Crypto Nutshell #180 reportin’ in. 🫡 🥜

We’re the crypto newsletter that won't deceive you like a secret agent with a license to kill... 🕶️🔫

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What we’ve cooked up for you today…

  • ⚔️ $30 Trillion coming for Bitcoin

  • 🍾 Biggest moment in Bitcoin’s life

  • 💪 HODLers standing strong

  • 💰 And more…

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MARKET WATCH ⚖️

Market data

Prices as at 5:30am ET

Only the top 20 coins measured by market cap feature in this section

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$30 TRILLION COMING FOR BITCOIN 🌊

BREAKING: Grayscale CEO foresees spot Bitcoin ETFs unlocking ‘$30 Trillion worth of advised wealth’

bitcoin

Grayscale CEO Michael Sonnenshein recently spoke on CNBC, giving his thoughts on the upcoming Bitcoin ETFs.

As a reminder, Grayscale is one of 13 institutions currently in the race for a spot Bitcoin ETF.

Sonnenshein noted that the approval will allow investment from individuals who have previously been “locked out” from Bitcoin.

“I’m not one to make price predictions, but I do think there is a lot of optimism again in the market… A lot of investors are adding Bitcoin to their portfolios, and when we look ahead to the hopeful approval for Spot Bitcoin ETF it is going to unlock the opportunity to be part of the investment community that, for better or worse - and I would say worse - has unfortunately been locked out of the opportunity to participate.

Michael Sonnenshein

Sonnenshein then mentions that the ETFs will open up Bitcoin investment to the entire U.S advised wealth market.

Which is worth approximately $30 trillion

This is a major reason why the ETFs will be HUGE.

An insane amount of fresh demand is coming for Bitcoin. (more on this in the next section)

Get ready… 🚀

The full interview can be seen below:

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BIGGEST MOMENT IN BITCOIN’S LIFE 🍾

There are now just 20 days until the final deadline for a spot Bitcoin ETF.

Analysts have approval odds at 90%.

With all the recent meetings between applicants & the SEC, we would put odds closer to 99%.

SEC meetings

Today, Michael Saylor went on Bloomberg and had this to say:

“You can't really underestimate the significance of the spot ETFs. It's not unreasonable to suggest that this may be the biggest development on Wall Street in 30 years.

Michael Saylor
Michael Saylor

For anyone paying attention, the writing is on the wall.

“In January, the approval of the spot ETFs is going to be a major catalyst. That's going to definitely drive demand shock. That will be followed in April with a supply shock. Because there are about 900 Bitcoin a day available for sale by natural sellers, the miners, and that number is going to be cut to 450 Bitcoin a day in April.”

Michael Saylor

Saylor believes the ETFs are going to drive somewhere between a 2x to a 10x increase in demand.

This will be followed 3 months later by the Bitcoin Halving. A demand shock, followed by a supply shock.

“I don't think we've ever seen a 2x to 10x increase in demand, combined with a halving in supply, in a scarce, desirable asset that people want to hold for a long period of time. We're expecting 2024 to be a major bull run for the asset class.”

Michael Saylor

This is unprecedented for an asset.

It’s why analysts are calling this the biggest moment in Bitcoin’s life.

WC tweet

Do not underestimate this milestone for Bitcoin.

It’s the biggest milestone in Bitcoin’s history.

With that said…

Do you own enough Bitcoin?

Do you own enough Bitcoin? 🤔

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P.S. We definitely don’t.

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HODLERS STANDING STRONG 💪

Today we’ll be taking a look at the Long / Short-Term Holder Supply of Bitcoin.

Here’s the rundown on how this metric works:

  • 🔴 Short-Term Holders (STHs): coins that have been held for less than 155 days

  • 🔵 Long-Term Holders (LTHs): coins that have been held for more than 155 days

  • 🟥 Short-Term Holder Cost Basis: all coins purchased in this price range are STHs

  • 🟦 Long-Term Holder Cost Basis: all coins purchased in this price range are LTHs

As a quick refresher, Glassnode categorises coins that have been held for longer than 155 days as long-term supply. Here’s the reasons why if you’re interested.

onchain

The amount of coins held by LTHs has just come off its all-time high. (only by a little bit…)

As of today, 14.9 million Bitcoin are in the hands of LTHs.

That’s 76.1% of the total circulating supply. 😲

For STHs it’s the exact opposite.

Effectively at all-time lows, the amount of Bitcoin currently held by STHs is 2.317 million.

That’s only 11.84% of the total circulating supply. 😱

What’s even crazier though, is that 2023 has seen:

  • Long-Term Holder Supply: Increased by +825,000 Bitcoin 📈

  • Short-Term Holder Supply: Decreased by -506,000 Bitcoin 📉

This is literally the tightest and most constrained Bitcoin supply we have ever seen.

Even though we are up ~157% for the year, we haven’t seen any major sell off from LTHs.

Long-term conviction literally couldn’t be any higher… 😎

(which makes sense with the ETFs and Halving being major bull catalysts)

With just over a week to go in 2023, only one question should be on your mind:

How can I get more Bitcoin?

CRACKING CRYPTO 🥜

WHAT WE’RE READING ✍️

Want to get even smarter? Check these out.

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CAN YOU CRACK THIS NUT? ✍️

Select your answer below and you’ll be redirected to the results page. (answer explanation can be found after “Meme Corner”)

When did FTX file for bankruptcy?

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MEME CORNER 😂

Because what would the crypto world be without its share of memes?

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Trivia Answer: A) November 2022 🥳

FTX collapsed in early November 2022 after CoinDesk reported an affiliated trading firm, Alameda Research, derived most of its value from speculative cryptocurrency tokens.

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DISCLAIMER: The content of this newsletter is not financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice. Please be careful and do your own research.

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